Archive for January 2011

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Pound Depressed by British GDP Contraction

January 25, 2011

Sterling fell 1.2% overnight against the dollar, which otherwise shows gains of 0.3% against the Canadian and Australian dollars, no change versus the euro, and drops of 0.3% relative to the Chinese yuan and Swiss franc and 0.2% against the yen and kiwi. Stock prices were mixed in the Pacific Rim, with rises of 1.2% […] More

Central Bank Watch

Key Israeli Lending Rate Lifted Another 25 Basis Points

January 24, 2011

The process of gradual interest rate normalization took another step today in a move that analysts mostly anticipated.  This was the seventh increase so far but the first in four months.  All of the hikes have been by 25 basis points.  The first in August 2009 was the initial increase by any central bank following […] More

Central Bank Watch

A Third Hungarian Rate Hike with a Hint of More to Come

January 24, 2011

Officials at Magyar Nemzeti Bank raised the Hungarian Base Rate by 25 basis points for a third straight month and suggested further increases could occur in the future.  A statement from the central bank reiterated a need to guard against rising inflation expectations because CPI inflation has been well above the 3% target and likely […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Dollar Recoups Some Losses

January 24, 2011

The dollar reversed a small part of last week’s losses, gaining 0.5% against the euro, 0.4% relative to the yen, and 0.3% versus sterling and the Canadian dollar.  The dollar also eased 0.1% against the Swiss franc and the Australian and Canadian dollars.  In the wake of President Hu’s trip to America, the yuan is […] More

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Next Week

January 21, 2011

During the week to January 28, 2011, central banks will be making interest rate policy announcements in the United States, Japan, Norway, New Zealand, India, Hungary, Hong Kong, Israel, and Malaysia.  Minutes from the last policy meetings of the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan get released, and Japan’s central bankers release their […] More

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Euro Off to Good Start This Year

January 21, 2011

A firmer euro is arguably the most significant currency market story of this young year.  The euro had gained 5.2% against the dollar at today’s high from its low two weeks ago.  The high of $1.3578 also constituted the strongest level since just before Thanksgiving.  On the euro’s crosses, the euro has recovered as much […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

German IFO Survey Lifts Euro

January 21, 2011

The euro advanced as high as $1.3569 overnight, its strongest value since November 23, and shows a net gain of 0.4% against the dollar.  The U.S. currency is also down 0.4% against the Swiss franc, 0.2% versus the yen and 0.1% against the Canadian dollar.  The greenback shows no change relative to the yuan, Aussie […] More

Larry's Blog

Obama Halftime Report

January 20, 2011

Aside from being the fiftieth anniversary of the Kennedy inaugural, today marks the midpoint of President Obama’s four-year term and thus a good time to compare the U.S. economic performance under his stewardship with how the economy did in the first two years of previous presidencies.  I checked five criteria: real GDP growth, total CPI […] More

Larry's Blog

Looking Back a Half Century at the Kennedy Inaugural Address

January 20, 2011

Being a baby boomer is central to my identity.  For those of us in the earliest wave of that generation, the Kennedy inauguration towers in the pantheon of select memories from our youth.  The pageant awakened us baby boomers to a large world out there and to America’s special role at a critical historic moment.  […] More

Central Bank Watch

No Change Made in South African Reserve Bank’s 5.5% Repo Rate

January 20, 2011

South African monetary officials, who meet less frequently than most central bank policy boards, implemented three rate reduction in 2010 including its prior two meetings in July and November.  These had augmented 500 basis points of relief from December 2008 to August 2009.  All that easing was made possible by falling inflation, which at 3.5% […] More

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