Archive for August 2009

Central Bank Watch

Bernanke's Reappointment

August 25, 2009

For a variety of reasons, President Obama’s announced decision to reappoint Fed Chairman Bernanke to a second four-year term beginning February 1st has been received well.  Major business newspapers have not yet run editorials on the action.  However, the FT editorial page recommended this move a few weeks ago.  While the WSJ editors have been […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

New Overnight Developments Abroad: Obama To Reappoint Fed Chairman Bernanke Today

August 25, 2009

Overnight movements of the dollar have been narrowly mixed, with gains of 0.2% against the loonie and 0.1% versus sterling, no change against the euro and Australian dollar, and declines of 0.3% relative to the yen and 0.1% against the kiwi and Swiss franc. Chinese stocks suffered another big decline, falling 3.7%.  Most other Pacific […] More

Larry's Blog

NBC and Reuters Reporting Bernanke Reappointment to be Made Tuesday

August 25, 2009

This evening around 21:30 EDT (01:30 GMT), U.S. press sources leaked news that President Obama will announce the reappointment of Fed Chairman Bernanke to a second four-year term on Tuesday from his vacation on Martha’s Vineyard.  The leaked nature of the story is unusual in itself, and the timing contrasts with the initial appointment of […] More

Central Bank Watch

Bank of Israel Raised Key Policy Rate To 0.75% from 0.50%

August 25, 2009

The Bank of Israel unexpectedly raised its key rate nineteen days after ending its program of bond buying. A statement from monetary officials notes that policy remains expansive and speaks about a desire to balance the need to contain inflation, which is expected to hover around the target ceiling, against a mandate to promote growth […] More

Larry's Blog

Navigating America's Lost Political Journey

August 24, 2009

On today’s Op-Ed page in the Financial Times, columnist Clive Crook argues that the slumping Obama Presidency does not reflect unfavorable external circumstances but rather political ineptness by the president and his advisors especially on healthcare reform.  Both mistakes of substance and tactics have been made.  The administration is not learning from its errors but […] More

Central Bank Watch

Hungarian Benchmark Rate Sliced to 8.0% From 8.5%

August 24, 2009

The Magyar Nemzeti Bank two-week bill rate was reduced to a 16-month low of 8.0% as expected.  This benchmark policy rate has dropped 350 basis points since its peak of 11.5% from last October 22nd through November 20th.  Four 50-bp cuts were implemented by January 19.  After a half-year pause, there was a 100-bp reduction […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

New Overnight Developments Abroad: Euroland Industrial Orders Posted Sharp Gain in July

August 24, 2009

Investors less fearful about taking risk.  Stocks in the Pacific Rim advanced 3.4% in Japan, 3.2% in Australia, 2.8% in Taiwan, 2.0% in South Korea, 2.2% in India and Pakistan, 1.3% in Thailand, 2.7% in Singapore and 1.7% in Vietnam.  Stocks in Britain, Germany and France are 0.8% higher. The yen, which trades positively with […] More

Central Bank Watch

Mexican Benchmark Interest Rate Not Cut Further

August 21, 2009

As analysts expected, the Banco de Mexico left its key interest rate at 4.5% after its August meeting today.  Cuts in each of the first seven months of the year had cumulated to 375 basis points from an 8.25% level at the start of the year.  There had been cuts of 75 bps in March, […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Next Week

August 21, 2009

The final week of August is not the last week of the summer season because the Labor Day Holiday in 2009 is on September 7, its latest possible date. Typical of the cusp between months, next week has a busy calendar for released data and planned central bank meetings. The latter will be held in […] More

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Weekly Foreign Exchange Insights: August 21st

August 21, 2009

These are the hot, humid days of August, a time of erratic currency market activity but also a time for big picture thinking.  The dollar lost ground this week.  Recovery hopes continue to wax and wane with each new statistic, but optimism appears to prevail that negative global growth is ending, financial market conditions will […] More

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