U.S. retail sales and import prices

Market Reaction Muted to Missile Strike in Poland

November 16, 2022

A Russian-made missile struck a grain facility inside Poland, but it remains unclear who fired that round or from where such came. World leaders were fortunately already assembled in Bali, Indonesia, for the Group of Twenty annual summit, and an emergency meeting to forestall a direct Nato-Russian military conflict has so far prevented an outsized […] More

Amid Rising Inflation, Some Central Banks React and Others Do Not

April 14, 2022

The weighted DXY dollar index slid 0.3% so far today and is 0.9% below its year-to-date high hit in intraday trading yesterday. Losses of 0.2-0.3% today have occurred against the euro, yen, kiwi, loonie and sterling, while marginal upticks have occurred versus the Swiss franc and Australian dollar. Stock markets closed up 1.2% in Japan […] More

An Historic FOMC Meeting on Tap Amid High Inflation and Some Cautious Optimism about the Pandemic and Diplomatic Efforts for a Russian Cease-Fire

March 16, 2022

The size of today’s initial federal funds rate hike is expected to be 25 basis points. I personally would prefer to see a bolder opening move of 50 basis points, as a symbolic gesture that Fed officials recognize that interest rate lift-off is starting late. But the credibility of forward guidance lies in not whip-sawing […] More

Financial Markets Comparatively Steady after Signing of Phase I U.S.-China Trade Deal

January 16, 2020

The dollar rose 0.1% overnight against the yen but slipped by 0.3% versus sterling and the Australian dollar, 0.2% relative to the Chinese Renminbi and Swiss franc, and 0.1% versus the euro and loonie. Share prices in the Pacific Rim advanced 0.7% in Australia, New Zealand and Singapore, 0.8% in South Korea, 0.1% in Japan, […] More

British Election Lifts Sterling… U.S.-Sino Phase I Progress Boosts Stocks

December 13, 2019

Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party won 365 parliamentary seats, clearing the majority threshold by 39 seats. The Conservatives won 43.6% of the votes to Labour’s 32.2% share. Sterling in response catapulted to an 18-month high of $1.3515 but has settled back to a still impressive 1.3% net overnight advance against the dollar. The greenback also touched […] More

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