U.S. election

U.S. Election Day Has Come, and Stocks Are Rallying Around the World

November 3, 2020

There is a mood of trepidation this Election Day. Record numbers were cast early, and the choice is considered the starkest in living memory. Fears center on the possibility of a contested outcome and ensuing violence, with interference from cyber meddling and other glitches in counting the results. Despite widespread agreement that America is going […] More

Dollar Little Changed But Equities Rebound on Day Before U.S. Election

November 2, 2020

U.S. stock futures point to a rise of more than 1.0% at today’s open. Overseas, share prices closed up 1.5% in Hong Kong and South Korea and by 1.4% in Japan, and key European bourses currently show rises of 1.8% in France and Italy, 1.7% in Germany, 1.4% in Switzerland, 1.3% in Spain and 1.1% […] More

Intensifying Pandemic and Coming U.S. Election Rattle Investor Confidence

October 28, 2020

The world has experienced another very bad 24 hours with the coronavirus. Globally reported cases have risen by almost a half million people, and and the United States suffered over a 1000 more Covid-related deaths. For America, the first wave of the epidemic never really ended, whereas Europe is clearly into a second wave, and […] More

Days of Wonder

November 1, 2016

Tomorrow’s FOMC statement is expected to prepare markets for a December rate hike. Ten-year sovereign debt yields are up 5 basis points in the U.S., 4 bps in Britain, and 3 bps in Germany. In Japan, where the BOJ now targets the 10-year JGB, that yield remained unchanged overnight. The U.S. election one week from […] More

Currency Determination at the Intersection of Economics and Politics

July 14, 2016

Contrary to popular opinion, politics and economics do not operate in separate universes.  Politics is the business governing who gets to make the rules for all other business activity and how the laws will be enforced and interpreted.  Politics determines policy, and abrupt changes in policy and policy communication influence economic performance profoundly.  That’s why […] More

Judgement Day in America

November 6, 2012

Today’s U.S. presidential election outcome is generally considered too close to call.  Representing world opinion, the Economist and Financial Times endorsed Obama despite reservations about his first term. In a surprise to many analysts, the Reserve Bank of Australia declined to cut the 3.25% Official Cash Rate further.  The Aussie dollar has climbed 0.7% against […] More

Anxiety Up ahead of U.S. Election and Greek Parliamentary Vote on Bailout

November 5, 2012

Share prices in Europe have slumped 1.3% in Spain, 1.1% in Italy, 0.8% in France, 0.5% in Britain and 0.4% in Germany. Equities in the Pacific Rim earlier closed down 0.8% in Indonesia, 0.6% in South Korea, 0.5% in Japan and Hong Kong, 0.4% in Taiwan, 0.3% in Singapore, and 0.2% in China and New […] More

Scant Dollar Reaction to Election as Investors Await FOMC Statement

November 3, 2010

The dollar is off 0.1% against the euro, unchanged relative to the Swissy, and up 0.2% versus the yen.  Against commodity-sensitive currencies, the greenback firmed 0.1% against the Aussie dollar but eased 0.2% against the Canadian dollar and by 0.4% relative to the kiwi.  The dollar lost 0.7% against sterling and 0.1% against the yuan. […] More

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