U.S. current account
Thursday Rundown of Overnight News, Data Reports, and Central Bank Decisions
December 19, 2019
President Trump has been impeached by a House of Representatives partisan vote of 229-197. He will get a trial in the senate. Market movements today are mostly unremarkable. Sovereign debt yields are up. Equities are down a bit in Europe but started on an up note in the United States. New Zealand’s stock market rallied […] More
Eight More Central Bank Meetings, a U.S. Current Account Report, and Downgraded Global Growth
September 19, 2019
Dollar movement overnight was mixed, with gains against the Australian dollar, kiwi, sterling, and yuan but losses relative to the yen, Swiss franc, euro, loonie and peso. The 10-year U.S. Treasury and Japanese JGB yields fell three basis points. Their German and British counterparts are respective a basis point higher and a basis point lower. […] More
Dollar Down on a Perfect Storm of Tensions Fraught with Uncertainty
June 20, 2019
The dollar lost 0.6-0.9% overnight against the euro, Swiss franc, loonie, yuan, kiwi, Australian dollar and Mexican peso. The greenback also has fallen 0.4% relative to the yen and 0.3% vis-a-vis sterling. The list of unknowns keeps lengthening. Iran shot down a U.S. surveillance drone, seemingly bringing another Middle East war closer. From Fed Chairman […] More
Dollar Softer Ahead of FOMC Decision and After U.S. Current Account Release
December 19, 2018
Despite weaker data and pressure from Trump, the Federal Open Market Committee is expected to announce the fourth rate hike of 2018 later today but to couch such within more accommodative forward guidance regarding likely policy in 2019. The U.S. current account deficit jumped to $124.8 billion in the third quarter from $101.2 billion in […] More
Released Current Account Data and Some Central Bank Decisions
September 19, 2018
The dollar is steady to mostly softer. North America’s stock market rally on Tuesday carried over into Asia and Europe. The ten-year British gilt yield edged up 2 basis points, and gold firmed 0.4%. Oil is steady, as are German bunds and Japanese JGBs. New Zealand recorded a larger-than-forecast NZD 1.619 billion current account deficit […] More
Calmer Waters
June 20, 2018
Share prices recovered 1.2% in Japan and Australia, 1.0% in South Korea, 0.7% in India, 0.4% in Hong Kong and 0.3% in China. U.S. and European equities have rebounded more moderately. The spin on a possible trade war is that the harsh rhetoric from officials in the U.S. and China is just threat to secure […] More
U.S. Balance of Payments and the Dollar
March 21, 2018
The dollar did not perform as weakly in the fourth quarter as it did earlier in 2017. Between end-2016 and end-2017, the U.S. currency lost 12.3% against the euro, 8.7% relative to the pound, 7.6% versus the Aussie dollar, 6.5% versus the loonie, 6.3% vis-a-vis the yuan, 4.3% against the Swiss franc, and 2.0% versus […] More
The U.S. Current Account, the Dollar, and Real GDP Growth
September 19, 2017
The U.S. current account deficit, the broadest measure of net foreign demand, has been manageable in size and comparatively steady relative to GDP in the years since the Great Recession. The current account comprises trade in goods and services, net investment income, and transfer payments. As a percentage of nominal GDP, the deficit equaled 2.4% […] More
Dollar in Retreat
March 21, 2017
The dollar’s weaker again. The euro rose above $1.080 for the first time since February 2 and hit its best level since January 31. The greenback has fallen 0.9% against sterling, 0.7% relative to the euro, 0.4% vis-a-vis the kiwi, 0.3% versus the Swiss franc, Chinese yuan and Mexican peso, 0.2% against the loonie, and […] More
Across-the-Board Dollar Losses
March 17, 2016
Today’s market focus has been on central bank policies. The FOMC cited global developments and a downwardly revised perception of the longer term neutral interest rate level to justify only around two likely interest rate hikes in 2016 and a lower federal funds rate path throughout the forecast period. The Bank of Norway, Norges Bank, […] More
