U.S. CPI
Peso Panic and Some Deescalation of the U.S.-Sino Trade dispute
August 13, 2019
Sunday’s primary election in Argentina served notice that populism is making a big comeback there and has generated a stampede out of the peso (down nearly 22%) and local stocks, whose share prices tumbled nearly 50% and by the second largest day-to-day slump in seven decades. Investors fear a return to protectionism and other state […] More
ECB Left Policy Unchanged, and Now Investors Await FOMC Minutes
April 10, 2019
At noontime in NY, the dollar was trading at Tuesday’s closing level against the euro and loonie but had drifted lower by 0.4% against the Australian dollar, 0.3% relative to sterling, and 0.2% vis-a-vis the yen and kiwi. The dollar is down more sharply against the peso but up 0.2% versus the Swiss franc and […] More
Political Spectacles and Some Data of Interest
December 12, 2018
President Trump is in engaged in a last ditch effort this month to attain funding for construction of his promised wall along the Mexican border before the Democrats gain control of the House of Representatives. The peso rose 0.8% overnight against the dollar. Trump is believed to be making more progress in trade talks with […] More
Japanese GDP Contracted in 3Q, while Eurozone Growth Slowed in Half
November 14, 2018
Data released this Wednesday confirmed a widening gap between economic growth in the United States on the one hand (3.5% at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate SAAR last quarter) and Japan and Euroland on the other. Japanese real GDP contracted 0.3%, or 1.2% SAAR in 3Q. Personal consumption (-0.5% SAAR), public sector expenditures (-0.9%), and […] More
Thursday’s Menu: Central Bank Decisions, Price Data, Hurricane Florence, and a U.S. Offer for a New Round of High Level Trade Talks with China
September 13, 2018
The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey lifted its key 0ne-week repo rate by a greater-than-expected 625 basis points to 24.0%. The dollar lost 2.8% against the lira afterward and has also fallen 1.0% against the Russian ruble, 1.6% relative to the South African rand, and 0.6% versus the Mexican peso. The Bank of […] More
More Volatile Global Markets as Concern Mounts about Turkey
August 10, 2018
Turkey commands the spotlight of global financial markets this Friday. Talks broke down between the U.S. and Turkey over the latter’s continuing detention of an American evangelical pastor, which has prompted economic sanctions by the United States on an economy already gripped with upward spiraling inflation and a central bank interest rate near 18%. The […] More
Awaiting China’s Response on Tariffs and Watching Price Data
July 12, 2018
Today saw more hope than on Wednesday that officials in Beijing will take a step back rather than escalate the trade war with the United States following the latest tariff increases proposed by President Trump. Perceptions on this issue remain highly fluid, however, and could turn gloomier very quickly. Share prices advanced 2.2% in China, […] More
Weaker Yen in Early Tuesday Trading
March 13, 2018
Ahead of the release of U.S. consumer price data, the yen has dropped 0.8% against the dollar to a near 2-week low and 3-week low versus the euro. Japanese producer prices and its tertiary index were released overnight. Japanese domestic corporate goods prices were unchanged in February, trimming their 12-month rate of increase to 2.5% […] More
Dollar Slide Accelerates Against Several Key Currencies
January 12, 2018
The dollar dropped overnight by 0.9% against the euro, 0.7% relative to the yuan and sterling, and 0.5% versus the Swiss franc and Mexican peso. The catalyst for this accelerated decline was a tentative political plan in Germany between the center-right Christian Democrats and center-left Christian Socialists to form a new “grand coalition.” Those two […] More
Dollar Slips and Stocks Rise Ahead of Last FOMC Decision of the Yellen Era
December 13, 2017
The dollar fell overnight by 0.7% against the kiwi, 0.6% versus the Aussie dollar, 0.4% relative to sterling, 0.3% vis-a-vis the yen and 0.1% against the euro, Swiss franc and loonie. Core U.S. CPI inflation in November was 0.1 percentage point less than forecast with a rise of 0.1% from October and a 1.7% 12-month […] More
