Trump

Dollar, Stocks and Bond Yields Mostly Lower

November 8, 2017

The dollar declined overnight by 0.5% against the yen, Aussie dollar and kiwi, 0.4% relative to the peso and loonie, 0.2% versus the yuan and 0.1% relative to the Swiss franc. The dollar’s unchanged against the euro and 0.4% stronger against sterling, which continues to be depressed by the fractious state of British politics and […] More

A Week Begins Fraught with Possibility

October 30, 2017

U.S. President Trump has promised to reveal his choice for Fed Chairperson this week before leaving for Asia on Friday. Jerome Powell is perceived to be the likeliest choice. Although presently a member of the Fed Board of Governors, Powell is not an economist by training. Over the past 47-1/2 years, economists have chaired the […] More

Trump Fuels Public Angst Again

August 23, 2017

In vintage style, the U.S. president’s comments at a political rally in Phoenix was full of threats and accusations on a range of topics: a possible government shutdown if Congress doesn’t fund his “wall” proposal; blaming a few Republicans for the vote against repealing Obamacare; accusing the media for distorting his response to Charlottesville and […] More

A Corrective Day in the Marketplace

August 22, 2017

The dollar rebounded, and so did most stock markets in Asia and Europe. Bond yields and gold eased back. These changes partly reverse trends in recent days but have no obvious reason for doing so other than it was time for a correction, however brief. After heavily criticizing the never-ending war in Afghanistan, President Trump […] More

Wide Spectrum of Developments Elicit Financial Market Response

July 25, 2017

In an escalated barrage of complaints, President Trump has lashed out at a range of adversaries: Attorney General Sessions, Congressional Republicans, Hillary Clinton, Bob Meuller, and the press. A vote on repealing the Affordable Care Act seems likely in the Senate this afternoon. The Federal Open Market Committee began a two-day policy meeting today. U.S. […] More

U.S. Jobs Day, G-20 Summit Begins, and BOJ Policy Becomes More Differentiated

July 7, 2017

Investors await the monthly U.S. Labor Dept jobs data due at 12:30 GMT. In the meantime, industrial production figures were released for Germany, France, Great Britain, Spain, Denmark, and the Czech Republic. Other data releases of interest have been Japanese and Chinese reserves, Japan’s index of leading economic indicators, the French current account, and British […] More

Investors Remain Very Risk Averse and Driven by Politics, Not Data

May 18, 2017

Sovereign debt yields continue to fall. In futures, the 10-year Treasury yield of 2.19% is down four more basis points and shows a 22-basis point plunge since the May 10th close. Comparable German bund and British gilt yields fell six and 3 basis points thus far today. The Japanese JGB is unchanged after data showing […] More

Softer Pound

May 11, 2017

Sterling fell 0.4% against the dollar overnight. The ten-year British gilt yield has firmed two basis points, and the Ftse is little changed. The Bank of England left policy unchanged but suggesting greater monetary policy tightening during the forecast period than is implied in market interest rates. Several British economic statistics were reported. Similar to […] More

Yen Weakens to a Six-Week Low

May 2, 2017

The yen is down 0.3% on balance after touching an overnight low of 112.32 per dollar, its weakest value since March 21. Japan’s services purchasing managers index and composite PMI slipped to 2-month lows of 52.2 and 52.6 in April from 19-month peaks set in March. On-year growth in Japan’s monetary base slid under 20% […] More

Dollar Bounces Higher

January 26, 2017

The dollar recovered 0.8% overnight against the yen and and is up 0.4% relative to the Canadian, Australian and New Zealand dollars. The greenback rose 0.2% versus the euro but slipped 0.2% against the Swissie. The yuan is unchanged, and the Mexican peso rebounded 0.3% as President Nieto said his country will not pay for […] More

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