Oil

May in Figures

May 30, 2015

The dollar resumed its uptrend in May following a counter-trend move in April.  An exception was the yuan, which marches to a government-managed beat rather than one set by market forces.  The kiwi was the weakest currency among those charted in this feature.  Long-term interest rates were mixed in May, while short-term rates again barely […] More

February in Figures

February 28, 2015

The short month of February lacked a consistent story to tie around different asset market classes.  Share prices appreciated across the board, but the dollar underwent mixed and rather diverse changes ranging from a 3.8% rise against the Swiss franc to a similarly-sized depreciation versus the New Zealand dollar.  U.S. and British long-term interest rates […] More

Note on Oil, the Dollar, and Inflation

February 18, 2015

The genesis of this comment lies in the 1970s, not because of similarities between then and now but rather because the current period seems on anecdotal observation to be an inversion of then.  There were two oil price shocks in the 1970s, a quadrupling of crude in early 1974 and a second sharp upward thrust […] More

January in Figures

January 30, 2015

2014 got off to an extraordinarily volatile start in the marketplace, with huge declines in long-term interest rates, big gains in the yen and dollar, wide swings in equities not all in the same direction, a 9.4% drop in oil prices, and a recovery of 8.0% in the price of gold. The month saw huge […] More

December and 2014 in Figures

January 4, 2015

Substantial declines were posted in 10-year sovereign debt yields both in December and in calendar 2014.  British share prices stagnated, but other equity markets performed very well.  The three-month eurilibor interest rate fell 21 basis points last year, and Swiss short-term rates moved below zero.  The dollar experienced once of its best years, posting similar […] More

Fresh Doubts about How Soon the Fed Will Raise Interest Rates

October 2, 2014

The European Central Bank holds its monthly policy meeting today.  Investors are not expecting significant new stimulus but remain guarded about that possibility.  Confidence over the past month has waned in the likely effectiveness of plans to buy asset-backed securities.  Euroland CPI inflation dipped further in September to 0.3% overall and 0.7% on core items.  […] More

September and 3Q in Figures

September 30, 2014

The dollar rose broadly and commodities fell in both September and the third quarter.  Ten-year sovereign debt yields rose in September but fell in the summer quarter.  Three-month euro deposit rates fell sharply in July-August but little further in September.  Other short-term interest rates held generally steady in the quarter. 10-Yr Yield 09/30/14 Chg from […] More

Markets Watching Sunni Insurgency in Iraq with Great Apprehension

June 16, 2014

Further violence in Iraq kept the WTI oil price near $107 per barrel, lifted gold by 0.5% to $1,280.90 per ounce, and raised the yen to 137.71 per euro, strongest since February 6.  Sterling is unchanged unbalance against the dollar but earlier surpassed $1.70 for the first time since August 2009, touching a high of […] More

March and the First Quarter in Figures

March 31, 2014

Ten-year sovereign debt yields rose slightly in most of our survey during March but still posted significant declines in the quarter.  There was again almost no movement at the short end.  Oil and gold prices traced directionally opposite moves against one another in both March and 1Q.The dollar fell over 3% in March against the […] More

October in Figures

October 31, 2013

Share prices strengthened in October with the notable exception of Japan.  Long-term interest rates subsided further, while short-term rates remained steady and well below the long rates.  The dollar closed narrowly mixed, and gold posted a minuscule dip.  Oil prices fell around 6% and swung back below $100 per barrel. 10-Yr Yield 09/30/13 10/31/13 Chg […] More

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