Oil

June and the Second Quarter in Figures

July 1, 2017

As in the previous quarter, a slide in the price of oil was a key development during the second quarter, and half of this move occurred in June. Gold also lost value both in June and the whole quarter. A second theme of the period was a shifting view about future monetary policies in the […] More

Little Change in the Dollar as Oil Stays Low

June 22, 2017

The U.S. dollar has lost 0.4% against the kiwi, 0.2% versus the peso and loonie and 0.1% relative to the yen but risen 0.2% against the Australian dollar and 0.1% vis-a-vis the euro, Swiss franc and yuan. Although 0.6% higher overnight, WTI crude oil remains very depressed at $42.79 per barrel, 21.4% lower than its […] More

May in Figures

June 1, 2017

U.S. and European sovereign debt yields fell during May. Short-term European interest rates also fell in contrast to a rise of the 3-month U.S. deposit rate. In Japan, rates rose at the long end but fell in short maturities. Stock markets improved in all markets examined here except Canada’s. The dollar climbed against sterling and […] More

Solidarity of Oil Producers Lifts Oil Prices by More Than 4.0%

December 12, 2016

The price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil leaped 4.2% to $53.68 per barrel. At a meeting on Saturday, the Saudis showed a readiness to cut production even more than agreed previously, and non-cartel producers are supporting the effort to reduce global output and lift the price of oil. This oil news has reinforced the […] More

October in Figures

November 1, 2016

The dollar rose in October especially versus sterling. Long-term interest rates increased everywhere, not just in the U.S. where monetary policy tightening is expected. The 10-year JGB remained below its target of zero, however. Short-term interest rates edged up marginally. Equities in October were mixed, and both the price of gold and oil slipped about […] More

August in Figures

September 1, 2016

Sovereign debt yields rose in August in most cases, Canada and Britain not included. The dollar and kiwi strengthened slightly. Equities held on to July gains and extended such in several cases. Oil partly recovered, and gold declined. 10-Yr Yield 08/31/16 07/29/16 Chg v End-Jul U.S. 1.57% 1.45% +12 Basis Points Germany -0.07% -0.12% +5 […] More

July in Figures

July 29, 2016

In July, the price of West Texas Intermediate oil plunged more than 10%, the 10-year British gilt yield dived 75 basis points, share prices around the world rallied strongly, and the dollar slipped moderately against a broad spectrum of other currencies. 10-Yr Yield 06/30/16 07/29/16 Chg v End-2Q U.S. 1.48% 1.45% -3 Basis Points Germany […] More

June and the Second Quarter in Figures

June 30, 2016

June and the second quarter were a volatile time in financial markets with mixed results, a few surprises and some odd juxtapositions.  The table below shows end-June levels and their comparisons to end-May and end-second quarter levels.  A unifying theme in both the last month and the spring quarter involved deep declines in sovereign debt […] More

Covert Currency War Games

May 3, 2016

Even with U.S. monetary stimulus being throttled back and other central banks pressing harder on the stimulus pedal, the pace of policy change thus far and in the future will be too gradual to make a huge difference in a direct way through their influence on short- and long-term interest rate differentials.  The cutting edge […] More

April 2016 in Figures

April 30, 2016

The dominant market themes in March had been strong oil and equities, dollar and yen weakness, and modest sovereign debt yield increases.  In April, West Texas Intermediate crude oil extended March’s 13.6% advance with a further leap of 19.8%, but yen strength was the big currency market story.  Ten-year sovereign debt yields rose except for […] More

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