Manufacturing PMIs

Hawkish Central Bank Actions, Released Factory Surveys, and U.S. Politics in Turmoil

May 2, 2019

The Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee voted unanimously to leave its Base Rate at 0.75% but indicated that markets aren’t discounting enough future rate increases. The MPC’s statement affirms An ongoing tightening of monetary policy over the forecast period, at a gradual pace and to a limited extent, would be appropriate to return inflation […] More

Holidays and Waiting for the FOMC Rate Announcement

May 1, 2019

Many centers are closed for May Day/Labour Day observances, including China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Germany, France, Italy, Switzerland, Spain, Greece, South Africa, Mexico, Brazil, Norway, Taiwan, Malaysia, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Thailand. Japan’s Golden week continues with today’s accession of Naruhito as emperor, and India’s Maharashtra Day has been marred by vandalism in which fire […] More

Stocks and Sovereign Debt Yields Up on Better-than-Expected Chinese and British Manufacturing Data

April 1, 2019

This is not an April Fool’s joke. China’s NBS manufacturing purchasing managers index climbed 1.3 points to a 6-month high of 50.5 in March from February’s 3-year low, while the Caixin-compiled Chinese manufacturing PMI reading of 50.8 constituted an 8-month high. Also, the NBS nonmanufacturing PMI rose 0.5 points to a 6-month high as well […] More

U.S. Manufacturing Edge Versus Euro Area Increased Last Month

February 1, 2019

The ISM-compiled U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers index rose 2.3 index points in January, while IHS-compiled counterpart fell 0.9 points. Consequently, the differential between these two data series, which had narrowed from 7.0 points in November to 2.9 index points in December, ballooned back to 6.1 points in January. This strong U.S. advantage exists in spite […] More

Manufacturing PMIs Convey Global Slowdown for the Most Part

February 1, 2019

Shortly ahead of the release of January U.S. labor market statistics, the dollar is mostly marking time, with no net change against the yen or loonie, downticks of 0.2% against the euro and 0.1% versus the Swiss franc and kiwi, and upticks of 0.6% relative to the yuan, 0.4% vis-a-vis sterling, 0.2% against the Aussie […] More

Ugly Start to a New Year

January 2, 2019

In the first session of 2019, stock markets slumped 3.1% in Hong Kong, 1.8% in Taiwan, 1.6% in Australia,, 1.5% in South Korea and Vietnam, 1.2% in China, and 1.0% in India and Singapore. There was mercifully no trading in Japan or New Zealand due to holiday closures. In Europe where the Swiss market was […] More

Dollar Down, Stocks Mostly Up Overseas

November 1, 2018

The dollar fell overnight on this first day of November by 1.5% against the kiwi, 1.3% relative to the Australian dollar, 1.0% vis-a-vis the peso and sterling, 0.7% versus the euro, 0.6% against the Swiss franc, and 0.4% relative to the loonie and yuan. The yen, in contrast, remains unchanged against the dollar. Share prices […] More

New Month Kicks Off with Further Evidence of Accelerating Turkish Inflation, a Whole Lot of PMI Surveys, and North American Holidays

September 3, 2018

U.S. and Canadian Markets are closed for Labor Day holidays. Turkish CPI inflation accelerated two percentage points to 17.9% in August, its highest level since the end of 2003. PPI inflation catapulted to 32.3% from 17.4% the month before. In response, officials at Turkey’s central bank have promised to tighten monetary policy soon. Bank of […] More

Assessing July Factory PMIs and Awaiting FOMC Statement

August 1, 2018

A parade of more than twenty purchasing manufacturing indices released today showed weaker July than June conditions by a ratio of five to one. Today’s FOMC decision is neither expected to entail an interest rate change nor any back-down of resolve following President Trump’s criticism that the Fed has been too quick to raise interest […] More

Third Quarter Begins with Dramatic Dollar Appreciation and Stock Market Losses

July 2, 2018

The dollar strengthened 1.1% versus the peso and kiwi, 0.8% relative to the yuan and Australian dollar, 0.7% against the euro and sterling, 0.6% vis-a-vis the Swiss franc, 0.4% against the loonie but just 0.1% versus the yen. Share prices slumped 2.5% in China, 2.4% in South Korea, and 2.2% in Japan as well as […] More

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