Japanese machinery orders

Dollar Slips and Stocks Rise Ahead of Last FOMC Decision of the Yellen Era

December 13, 2017

The dollar fell overnight by 0.7% against the kiwi, 0.6% versus the Aussie dollar, 0.4% relative to sterling, 0.3% vis-a-vis the yen and 0.1% against the euro, Swiss franc and loonie. Core U.S. CPI inflation in November was 0.1 percentage point less than forecast with a rise of 0.1% from October and a 1.7% 12-month […] More

Quiet Start to Wednesday

October 11, 2017

The dollar is marginally softer, with overnight dips of 0.3% against the peso, 0.2% versus the yen and Aussie dollar and 0.1% vis-a-vis the euro and Swiss franc. The dollar also rose 0.4% against the yuan and 0.1% relative to sterling but is flat against the loonie and kiwi. Tensions over Spain’s political situation eased […] More

Some Good News on This September 11th

September 11, 2017

Today is the 16th anniversary of the terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon that killed thousands, but there has so far been no follow-up acts of violence. On the contrary, North Korea failed to test another missile over the weekend, and property damages in Florida have apparently been less than half the […] More

Share Prices Falling

June 12, 2017

There has been a large backlash against populist and extremist politics in both France and Italy over the weekend. In the first round of French parliamentary elections, President Macron’s LREM Alliance appears likely to secure about three-fourths of the seats, the highest percentage for a ruling party in over fifty years. Turnout was marginally lower […] More

Cheaper Dollar as U.S. Political Surprises Mount

May 17, 2017

The dollar fell overnight by 0.7% against the yen, 0.4% relative to the euro, Swiss franc and sterling, and 0.1% versus the kiwi. The dollar alternatively rose 0.4% against the peso, 0.3% versus the Aussie dollar, ad 0.2% relative to the loonie. Ten year German bund and British gilt yields are two basis points lower, […] More

Several Disinflationary Signs Around the World

April 12, 2017

Chinese consumer prices fell 0.3% on month in March and ¬†remained below a 1% 12-month trend at 0.9%. PPI inflation settled back to a 2-month low of 7.6%. U.S. import prices posted a monthly drop (0.3%) for only the third time in the past year and a smaller on-year advance of 4.2%. Non-fuel import price […] More

Storm Front Coming to the North-Eastern U.S Corridor

March 13, 2017

The coming week was already shaping up to be laden with market-moving developments such as the Fed’s virtually certain interest rate hike and Dutch parliamentary elections, each set for Wednesday. Now comes word that two storm fronts will be merging within 24 hours, creating blizzard conditions and resulting in a foot or more snow in […] More

A Convergence of Bond Yields

February 9, 2017

Ten-year sovereign debt yields fell 6, 5, and 3 basis points in Spain, Italy and France but rose 8 bps in Greece, 2 bps in the U.S. and U.K. and 1 bp in Germany. The dollar advanced 0.7% against the kiwi, which was depressed when the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s policy statement left the […] More

Dollar Strengthens, Bond Prices and Mexican Peso Fall

November 10, 2016

Large protests against the U.S. election results erupted in several U.S. cities overnight, including N.Y.C., Chicago, Oakland and Seattle. President-Elect Trump will travel today to Washington to meet President Obama at the White House to begin the transition of administrations. On the premise of a more stimulative U.S. fiscal policy, a likely federal funds rate […] More

Lower Dollar as Hopes Dim over Nearness of Next Federal Reserve Rate Hike

August 10, 2016

Today’s main financial theme is the persistent weakness of global growth.¬† The 10-year British gilt yield fell six basis points to a new record low of 0.52% in the U.K. versus 1.43% at the end of May. Ten-year German bund and Japanese JGB yields are 2 basis points lower and each quite negative at -0.10% […] More

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