Japanese industrial production

Last Day of May Chocked Full of News

May 31, 2017

There’s an official report today that President Trump has decided to pull the United States out of the Paris climate change accord. White House advisers had been split on this issue. With Britain’s election set for a week from tomorrow, polls reflect a continuing narrowing of the Conservative Party’s lead. A 2.8% overnight plunge in […] More

Lots of U.S. Data and a Yellen Press Conference This Ides of March

March 15, 2017

The Federal Reserve will release new macroeconomic forecasts and  is expected to raise the fed funds target at 18:00 GMT, and the press conference begins a half hour later. The dollar softened overnight by 0.6% against the peso, 0.5% versus sterling, 0.4% relative to the New Zealand and Australian dollars, 0.3% vis-a-vis the loonie and […] More

Expected U.S. Inflation Moves Up

October 17, 2016

Janet Yellen’s wide-ranging speech before the weekend appears to have lifted price expectations. The Fed Chair seemed to favor letting inflation exceed target temporarily. Share and bond prices, as well as oil are generally softer. So is the dollar, sterling and some emerging market currencies like the Turkish lira. Turkey’s jobless rate jumped 0.5 percentage […] More

End of August

August 31, 2016

Investors are less worried about European growth and more confident the Fed will lift rates soon at the end of the month than they were at the start of August. A lot of data was released on this final trading session of the month. The dollar is down 0.4% against sterling. Britain’s Nationwide house price […] More

Deluge of Politics and Economics at Midyear

June 30, 2016

Today’s Brexit bombshell is that the Leave movement’s leader, Boris Johnson, pulled out of the running to be Britain’s next prime minister and the person to decide when to invoke Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, which guides the unprecedented countdown for exiting the European Union.  Johnson’s decision presumably will further delay what happens from […] More

Typical Deluge of Data as Another Month Ends

May 31, 2016

Market Highlights: The U.S. dollar dropped 1.1% and 0.9% against the Australian and New Zealand dollars on encouraging economic statistics released today. Against other major currencies, the U. S. dollar is narrowly mixed but poised to record a very strong monthly advance. The Shanghai Composite index of Chinese share prices leaped 3.3%.  The cause was […] More

Several Developments Including a New Brexit Poll

May 17, 2016

According to a new British opinion poll that surveyed about 800 people by phone, the margin of people favoring continuing membership in the European Union versus leaving that group has doubled to about 15 percentage points with 55% want to stay and 40% now in support of leaving.  Sterling is 0.6% firmer against the dollar […] More

Profit-Taking Friday

April 15, 2016

Investors were in a more sober mood at week’s end. The dollar fell back 1.0% against the kiwi, 0.7% relative to the won, 0.5% versus the yen, 0.3% vis-a-vis the Aussie dollar and sterling, and 0.2% against the euro.  The loonie and yuan are unchanged. Share prices in Europe are down 0.8% in Switzerland, 0.6% […] More

Chinese Central Bank Reserve Requirement Cut on Leap Year Day

February 29, 2016

The People’s Bank of China lopped another 50 basis points off its deposit reserve requirement ratio to 17.0%.  Five reductions in 2015 had reduced such to 17.5% from 20.0%, but the fifth of these was done five months ago in late October.  This kind of stimulus risks exposing the yuan to greater selling pressure. The […] More

Month Ending with Usual Flurry of Data Reports

November 30, 2015

Overnight dollar movement ranges from declines of 0.9% against the kiwi, 0.6% versus the Aussie dollar, 0.2% relative to the loonie and 0.1% vis-a-vis the Swiss franc to rises of 0.5% against sterling and 0.2% versus the yen and euro. The DJIA has dipped 0.2% so far.  The Ftse is off 0.1%, but the German […] More

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