Japanese GDP

Difficult Session in Asia but European Markets Are Higher

September 10, 2018

Share prices fell 1.4% in Hong Kong, 1.2% in China and India, 1.1% in Taiwan, 0.7% in New Zealand, and 0.4% in Indonesia and Singapore. The Japanese Nikkei rose only 0.3% despite a significant upward revision of second-quarter GDP growth in that economy. Equities in Europe, by contrast, have advanced in today’s session so far […] More

More Volatile Global Markets as Concern Mounts about Turkey

August 10, 2018

Turkey commands the spotlight of global financial markets this Friday. Talks broke down between the U.S. and Turkey over the latter’s continuing detention of an American evangelical pastor, which has prompted economic sanctions by the United States on an economy already gripped with upward spiraling inflation and a central bank interest rate near 18%. The […] More

Watching Several Situations

May 16, 2018

A weaker-than-expected Japanese GDP report saw negative growth on both a nominal and real basis last quarter. There was additional evidence of less inflation than assumed in Europe, and Australian wage costs data show benign containment. Treasury-compiled capital movements revealed another big U.S. inflow in March. It’s been a busy day for central bank news, […] More

Significant Data Reports

February 14, 2018

Japanese real GDP expanded only 0.5% at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate last quarter, the weakest pace in eight quarters and down from 2.2% in 3Q and 2.5% in 2Q17. GDP still grew faster (1.6%) in 2017 than the prior year’s pace of 0.9%. The GDP price deflator went up merely 0.2% in 2017 and […] More

Strong U.S., Japanese, Chinese, French and Canadian Data Reported and Brexit Talks Take a Step Forward

December 8, 2017

There have been some impressive stock market advances overnight in Asia (Japan 1.4%, Hong Kong 1.7%, Singapore 1.1%, and India 0.9) and Europe (Italy 1.3%, Germany 0.9%, Spain 0.8% and the U.K. 0.7%). The S&P is 0.4% firmer in early U.S. trading. The dollar is closing out the week on a high note, having risen […] More

Dollar and Stocks Continue to Slide

November 15, 2017

Dollar losses overnight amounted to 0.7% against the yen, 0.5% versus the euro, 0.4% vis-a-vis the Swiss franc and kiwi, 0.3% relative to the yuan, 0.2% against the peso and 0.1% versus sterling. The yen touched a 4-week high, and the euro moved back above its January 1999 starting level. Ten-year sovereign debt yields are […] More

Less Risk Aversion Now but Respite Might Not Last

August 14, 2017

North Korea hasn’t backed down rhetorically, and U.S. President Trump has every reason to keep foreign crisis distraction on the front-burner in light of the developments in Virginia. Nonetheless, the new week kicked off with last week’s haven-favored assets trimming their gains. Investors have shown temporary faith that a nuclear war will be averted one […] More

A Day Potentially Fraught with Major Developments

June 8, 2017

First up is ECB President Mario Draghi’s press conference. The Governing Council didn’t change interest rates. No surprise there. But new macro-forecasts will be unveiled, and there are risks that the growth outlook will be made brighter but also that projected inflation may be lowered. Next comes former FBI Director Comey’s testimony before the Senate […] More

Investors Remain Very Risk Averse and Driven by Politics, Not Data

May 18, 2017

Sovereign debt yields continue to fall. In futures, the 10-year Treasury yield of 2.19% is down four more basis points and shows a 22-basis point plunge since the May 10th close. Comparable German bund and British gilt yields fell six and 3 basis points thus far today. The Japanese JGB is unchanged after data showing […] More

Spotlight in Coming Week to Fall on the Fed

February 13, 2017

Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s semi-annual Humphrey-Hawkins testimony before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday and House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday could prove contentious, with Republicans in firm control of the government, commodity-fueled price pressure reawakening in the U.S. and around the world, and a severe critic of Fed accommodation, David Malpass, having just been […] More

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