Japanese all-industry index

An Unrepresentative Day

November 21, 2018

Equities have rebounded but just partly from earlier steep losses this week. Moreover, being the day before the U.S. Thanksgiving, trading is distorted and should probably not be viewed as representative of either economic and political fundamentals or of the state of investor psychology. U.S. stocks are up less sharply than those in Germany, Canada […] More

Dollar Softens Further

August 22, 2018

The dollar lost some further modest ground against major currencies like the euro (0.3%), Swiss franc and Canadian dollar (0.2%), and New Zealand dollar (0.1%). The dollar edged up 0.1% against the Aussie dollar and sterling, by contrast. U.S. stocks remained buoyant yesterday on strong corporate earnings prospects, but investor misgivings about Trump’s legal uncertainties […] More

Dollar Broadly Stronger… Gold and Global Bonds Down

April 25, 2018

The Mexican peso extended its recent swoon, falling 1.0% against the dollar and moving past the 19 per USD threshold. U.S./Mexican relations appear headed for another dive, as Lopez Obrador, the former Mexico City mayor and a populist, retained a huge lead in presidential election polls. The election is just over two months away. It’s […] More

Trade War Fear Takes Center Stage

March 22, 2018

While Fed Chairman Jay Powell downplayed the risk to growth from trade restraints at least insofar as any influence on U.S. monetary policy is concerned, global financial markets are taking the danger of a trade war very seriously, particularly as President Trump seems poised to slap $50 billion of tariffs on imported Chinese goods. There’s […] More

Trump Grabs Spotlight… Japan Also in the News

January 23, 2018

President Trump is on a roll. Having secured a tax cut with benefits skewed to the rich and then trapping congressional democrats in a political snake pit over immigration, he’s turned his sight on the biggest campaign promise of all: so-called fair trade. A 30% tariff on U.S. imports of foreign-made solar equipment threatens to […] More

Rise in Sovereign Debt Yields Extended

December 20, 2017

The Senate approved the tax bill without any support from the Democrats by a vote of 51-48. All that remains is one final assured vote today in the House of Representatives and President Trump’s signature on the bill. This legislation is projected to boost economic growth in 2018 but also will raise federal deficit spending […] More

BOJ and Fed Leadership Stake Out Contrasting Monetary Policy Stances

September 21, 2017

FOMC officials still expect to hike the fed funds rate one more time in 2017 and three times next year. The current range of 1-1.25% was not changed, but balance sheet reduction begins next month. Lower-than-expected inflation has been a mystery, but the economy and U.S. labor markets are behaving well enough not to deter […] More

Euro Strengthens With ECB in the Spotlight

July 20, 2017

The euro advanced 0.6% against the dollar and is not far beneath $1.16. The dollar otherwise climbed 0.4% relative to sterling, 0.3% versus the yen and Aussie dollar, 0.2% relative to the yuan and 0.1% versus the peso. The dollar dipped 0.1% against the Swissy and loonie. WTI crude oil rose 0.4% to $47.31 per […] More

Better European Data, More Leaked Allegations on Trump, and a Terrorist Bomb Attack

May 23, 2017

The German business climate index compiled by the IFO Economic Institute increased 1.6 points in May to the highest level since German unification, a reading of 114.6. Current conditions went up 1.9 points, and expectations climbed 1.3 points in the latest month, prompting IFO officials to call the business mood euphoric and the pace of […] More

Somewhat Softer Dollar on This First Day of Winter

December 21, 2016

The dollar has weakened 0.7% against the euro, 0.4% relative to the Swiss franc, 0.3% vis-a-vis the yen, 0.2% versus sterling, and 0.1% against the kiwi and yuan. U.S. stocks are a tad lower. The German Dax is flat. Stocks fell in other European centers and lost 1.0% in Indonesia, 0.3% in China and Japan, […] More

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