Japanese all-industry index

Investors Concerned about Trade Strains Augmenting Slow Global Growth

November 21, 2019

Share prices overnight in the Pacific Rim fell 1.6% in Hong Kong, 1.4% in South Korea, 1.2% in Singapore, 0.7% in Australia, 0.6% in Taiwan and Indonesia, 0.5% in Japan and 0.3% in China. European stock markets are down but not as sharply as Asia’s. The dollar today is little changed since Wednesday’s close. Ten-year […] More

Central Bankers Less Confident about What To Do

February 21, 2019

FOMC minutes from the late January policy review clarified that the Committee’s new buzz word “patience” reflects uncertainty as to what outlook the latest economic data and other factors may be implying. “In light of the range of uncertainties associated with global economic and financial developments, the Committee decided that it was not useful at […] More

Softer Dollar on the First Day After the Fed’s Rate Hike

December 20, 2018

Markets did not take comfort from Wednesday’s FOMC interest rate hike or the upbeat economic prognosis of Chairman Powell. The dollar fell overnight by 0.6% against the euro, 0.5% relative to the yen and  Swiss franc, 0.4% vis-a-vis sterling, 0.3% versus the Australian dollar, and 0.2% against the yuan and loonie. Share prices fared poorly […] More

An Unrepresentative Day

November 21, 2018

Equities have rebounded but just partly from earlier steep losses this week. Moreover, being the day before the U.S. Thanksgiving, trading is distorted and should probably not be viewed as representative of either economic and political fundamentals or of the state of investor psychology. U.S. stocks are up less sharply than those in Germany, Canada […] More

Dollar Softens Further

August 22, 2018

The dollar lost some further modest ground against major currencies like the euro (0.3%), Swiss franc and Canadian dollar (0.2%), and New Zealand dollar (0.1%). The dollar edged up 0.1% against the Aussie dollar and sterling, by contrast. U.S. stocks remained buoyant yesterday on strong corporate earnings prospects, but investor misgivings about Trump’s legal uncertainties […] More

Dollar Broadly Stronger… Gold and Global Bonds Down

April 25, 2018

The Mexican peso extended its recent swoon, falling 1.0% against the dollar and moving past the 19 per USD threshold. U.S./Mexican relations appear headed for another dive, as Lopez Obrador, the former Mexico City mayor and a populist, retained a huge lead in presidential election polls. The election is just over two months away. It’s […] More

Trade War Fear Takes Center Stage

March 22, 2018

While Fed Chairman Jay Powell downplayed the risk to growth from trade restraints at least insofar as any influence on U.S. monetary policy is concerned, global financial markets are taking the danger of a trade war very seriously, particularly as President Trump seems poised to slap $50 billion of tariffs on imported Chinese goods. There’s […] More

Trump Grabs Spotlight… Japan Also in the News

January 23, 2018

President Trump is on a roll. Having secured a tax cut with benefits skewed to the rich and then trapping congressional democrats in a political snake pit over immigration, he’s turned his sight on the biggest campaign promise of all: so-called fair trade. A 30% tariff on U.S. imports of foreign-made solar equipment threatens to […] More

Rise in Sovereign Debt Yields Extended

December 20, 2017

The Senate approved the tax bill without any support from the Democrats by a vote of 51-48. All that remains is one final assured vote today in the House of Representatives and President Trump’s signature on the bill. This legislation is projected to boost economic growth in 2018 but also will raise federal deficit spending […] More

BOJ and Fed Leadership Stake Out Contrasting Monetary Policy Stances

September 21, 2017

FOMC officials still expect to hike the fed funds rate one more time in 2017 and three times next year. The current range of 1-1.25% was not changed, but balance sheet reduction begins next month. Lower-than-expected inflation has been a mystery, but the economy and U.S. labor markets are behaving well enough not to deter […] More

css.php