German WPI
G7 Summit and a Greater-than-Expected Interest Rate Hike in Russia
June 11, 2021
Leaders of the Group of Seven (U.S., Japan, Germany, France, Italy, U.K., and Canada) are holding their annual summit in Cornwall, England. A third successive hike of the Central Bank of Russia has been engineered, and its 50-basis point increase to 5.5% exceeded forecasts of a 25-basis point move. The rate had been raised by […] More
Projected Euroland Growth in 2021 Revised Lower
February 11, 2021
Many Asian markets were closed today due to holiday observances. China, Taiwan, Singapore, Hong Kong, and South Korea were among the countries observing the lunar New Year, and Japan celebrated National Foundation Day. The lack of Asian market leadership confined the dollar to narrow ranges. Compared to Wednesday closing levels, the dollar is unchanged on […] More
Rise in Dollar and Share Prices
October 12, 2020
The People’s Bank of China over the weekend slashed reserve requirements on foreign exchange deposits to zero percent in a move to counter recent strength in the yuan, which gained 0.8% overnight. The move also buoyed China’s stock market by 2.6%. Other dollar gains overnight amount to 0.7% versus the Mexican peso, 0.4% relative to […] More
British Election Lifts Sterling… U.S.-Sino Phase I Progress Boosts Stocks
December 13, 2019
Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party won 365 parliamentary seats, clearing the majority threshold by 39 seats. The Conservatives won 43.6% of the votes to Labour’s 32.2% share. Sterling in response catapulted to an 18-month high of $1.3515 but has settled back to a still impressive 1.3% net overnight advance against the dollar. The greenback also touched […] More
Muted Overnight Moves in Dollar but Share Prices Up
March 15, 2019
The dollar this Ides of March is unchanged from Thursday closing levels against the yen, loonie and Swiss franc. The dollar fell 0.2% against the euro, sterling and Australian and New Zealand dollars and by 0.1% versus the yuan. Share prices rose 1.3% in China, 0.8% in Japan, and 0.6% in Hong Kong and show […] More
Trump Fighting a Two-Front War Against Fed and Over His Stance on Saudi Arabia
October 18, 2018
Minutes from the FOMC September meeting minutes at which monetary officials again raised interest rates reveal confidence in continuing growth, a view shared by some that the fed funds target is likely to spend a while above the perceived long-run level, and a considerable time allotted to discussion of the ramifications of U.S.-Sino trade tensions. […] More
Equities Revive as Markets Look Ahead to FOMC and Kavanaugh Hearing
September 25, 2018
The FOMC is expected to raise its interest rate tomorrow. New forecasts will be released, and Powell presides over a press conference. A third woman has surfaced, accusing Supreme Court nominee Kavanaugh of sexual misconduct. The Senate Judiciary Committee hearing is set for Thursday. The third event of this upcoming three-ring circus will be the […] More
Yuan Rebounds and U.S. Stocks Set to Rise Too
August 16, 2018
Equity losses early in Asia’s session were trimmed after an announcement from China’s Minister of Commerce Wang Shouwen that China accepts the invitation from U.S. Undersecretary of the Treasury Malpass to resume trade talks. Talks broke down in June. A delegation of Chinese officials will visit the U.S. late this month for new talks, kindling […] More
Dollar Up, Stocks Listless, and Sovereign Debt Yields Lower as Week Draws to an End
July 13, 2018
The dollar rose overnight by 0.4% against the kiwi and yuan and by 0.2% relative to the euro, loonie, Swiss franc, Aussie dollar and sterling. The dollar dipped 0.2% versus the peso and 0.1% against the yen. The main pieces of economic news out today show A 67% widening of the Chinese global trade surplus […] More
Long-Term Interest Rates Climb Higher
April 16, 2018
Softer sovereign debt prices (higher yields) are the most consistent and significant market development this Monday. The week ahead will feature the semi-annual IMF/World Bank meetings and quarterly earnings reports from many companies. 10-year sovereign debt yields are up four basis points in the U.K. and three bps each in Germany and the United States. […] More
