German industrial production

Dollar Down Broadly after Mixed U.S. Election Result

November 7, 2018

The dollar traded down overnight by 1.7% against the kiwi, 1.0% versus the Australian dollar, 0.7% relative to the euro and Swiss franc, 0.5% vis-a-vis the peso and sterling, 0.4% against the loonie, 0.3% versus the yen and 0.1% against the yuan. Share prices fell in Asia but have risen in Europe. Market losses totaled […] More

More Risk Aversion Lends Support to Dollar

October 8, 2018

The dollar has risen today by 0.8% against the Chinese yuan, 0.6% relative to sterling, 0.4% versus the euro, 0.3% vis-a-vis the loonie, and 0.1% against the Swiss franc and Mexican peso. Japan (Sports Day) and Canada (Thanksgiving) are observing holiday closures, but China reopened for business following a one-week observance of the Communist Revolution […] More

In Suspense Ahead of Tariff Announcements

September 7, 2018

President Trump is expected to announce a huge ramp-up in tariffs next week, especially on imports of Chinese goods, and China will no to retaliate in kind. Some pundits worry this escalating trade war will hammer U.S. equities, depress U.S. growth, lift U.S. inflation, and further incentivize the FOMC to raise interest rates. Stocks in […] More

U.S. Jobs Day but That’s Been Overshadowed by Re-escalating Trade Tensions

April 6, 2018

Forecasters anticipate the U.S. March labor market data will show creation of almost 200K jobs, a further small dip in the unemployment rate, and a pickup of hourly wage earnings growth. Share prices and commodity prices fell overnight in response to fresh concern that the U.S.-Sino trade dispute cannot be negotiated away. President Trump has […] More

Calmer Waters…. Many Central Banks Holding Policy Reviews

February 7, 2018

U.S. stocks rose in the first hour of trading following Tuesday’s extreme whipsaws. In Europe, equities show gains so far of 2.3% in Italy and between 1% and 2% in the U.K., France, Germany, Switzerland, Greece, and Spain. Japan’s Nikkei only rebounded 0.2%, and further evidence that things are not fully back to normal markets […] More

A Scramble to Tie Up Loose Ends

December 7, 2017

Politicians around the world are in a rush to complete unfinished business. Republicans in the U.S. House and Senate are negotiating a compromise of their separate bills to get a law signed before the Christmas recess. The process is proceeding informally and without Democratic Party involvement to compress the timetable. A risk continues that the […] More

Korea, Saudi Arabia, Central Bank Meetings, and More Data

November 7, 2017

Market Action: The dollar rose overnight by 0.5% against the Australian dollar, 0.4% versus the loonie, peso and euro, 0.3% relative to the yen and sterling, 0.2% against the Swiss franc and 0.1% against the yuan. EUR/USD is at a 4-month low. Stocks climbed 1.7% in Japan on Tuesday, 1.5% in Hong Kong, 1.0% in […] More

Market Spotlight on Turkey and Spain

October 9, 2017

On a day when holiday closures in the United States (Columbus Day), Japan (Health Sports Day), Canada (Thanksgiving), and South Korea (Hanguil Day) ordinarily might be expected to sap the market of leadership and thus depress volatility, there have been big movements affecting Turkey and Spain. A diplomatic dispute between Turkey and the United States […] More

Monday Rundown

August 7, 2017

Comparatively small changes can be seen so far in U.S. and European stocks. Likewise, the dollar shows a dip of 0.1% against the yuan and resilient euro but gains of 0.3% versus the loonie, 0.2% against the Australian dollar and 0.1% relative to the yen, Swissie, and sterling. Bigger dollar advances of 0.7% against the […] More

A Focus on Central Banks

September 7, 2016

Money markets are discounting only a one in four likelihood that the fed funds rate gets hiked on September 21 despite hawkish remarks overnight from San Francisco Fed President John Williams, who voiced confidence in current U.S. economic conditions and opined that moving sooner is better than doing so later. The Fed’s Beige Book of […] More

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