German industrial production

Brexit Concerns Back in Spotlight while Holidays Close Other Markets

September 7, 2020

Investors perceive the odds of no post-Brexit trade deal between the U.K. and EU to be climbing. British Prime Minister Johnson reportedly will abandon trade talks after October 15 if no agreement is reached by then. The Eurogroup holds a monthly meeting at the end of this week. Markets are shut today in the United […] More

Risk Aversion Rekindled by Downbeat Economic Forecast and Data as Well as Covid-19’s Relentless Spread

July 7, 2020

Major stock markets in Europe show losses so far today of 1.2% in the U.K. and Germany and 1.0% in France and Spain. Equities closed down 1.4% in Hong Kong, 1.1% in South Korea and Singapore, and 0.4% in Japan. U.S. futures suggest that at least half of Monday’s strong rise in equity prices will […] More

Economic Reopening Spreads Even as Pandemic Chugs On

June 8, 2020

Many more business establishments will be reopening on a modified basis this week in a calculated gamble that the Covid-19 pandemic doesn’t intensify unduly as a result. An additional risk for the United States is the unknown impact of the many days of street protests since the death of George Floyd. Globally reported confirmed cases […] More

Disconnection Thursday Between Recessionary Data and Buoyant Stocks

May 7, 2020

Equities were mixed in Asia but have risen more impressively in Europe this morning. There were drops of 0.8% in India, 0.7% in Hong Kong and 0.2% in China but advances of 0.6% in Taiwan, 0.3% in Japan and 0.5% in New Zealand. The British Ftse, German Dax, and Paris Cac each have risen at […] More

Bigger Risk Appetite of Monday Continues

April 7, 2020

Share prices in Asia closed up 9.0% in India, 4.1% in Singapore, 2.1% in China and Hong Kong, 2.0% in Japan and 1.8% in South Korea and Taiwan. Equity markets so far in Europe show additional gains today of 4.3% in Italy, 4.0% in Germany, 3.1% in France, 3.5% in Spain and 3.0% in the […] More

Dollar Extending Gains Against Commodity-Sensitive Currencies

February 7, 2020

The dollar rose overnight by a further 0.7% against the kiwi, peso, Russian ruble, and Aussie dollar and by 0.5% relative to the Chinese yuan. The dollar dropped 0.3% versus the yen and 0.1% vis-a-vis sterling but is unchanged against the euro. Intensifying concern about the spreading coronavirus epidemic provided an excuse for profit-taking in […] More

Unexpected Leap in U.S. Employment Last Month Dominates Friday’s News

December 6, 2019

U.S. non-farm payroll jobs increased 266k in November. Not since January had NFP risen so sharply, and the rises in September-October were revised upward by a combined 41k as well. Even with the resolution of the GM strike, these figures dwarfed expectations. Moreover, the jobless rate fell back 0.1 percentage point to a multi-decade low […] More

Risk Back On

November 7, 2019

A claim was made by a Chinese Commerce Ministry spokesman that the U.S. and China have agreed to a phased and mutual reduction of trade deficits but only contingent on a trade deal being done. Stock markets are up 0.7% in Germany, 1.0% in Australia, 0.7% in Singapore, 0.6% in Hong Kong, 0.5% in India, […] More

Stocks Hit by Geopolitical Factors

October 8, 2019

Share prices in Germany, France, Italy, and Spain are down over 1.0%, and a lower U.S. open is implied by futures. Brexit talks between the U.K. and EU are seemingly paralyzed, and the U.S. blacklisting of Chinese tech firms over treatment of Uighur Muslims underscores trade tensions between the the two countries. Share prices in […] More

Monetary Policy Reviews, an Intensifying U.S. Political Crisis, Trade Talks, and Some Data Surprises

May 8, 2019

Central bank officials in New Zealand and Malaysia cut their interest rates, while those in Thailand maintained an “accommodative but appropriate” 1.75% rate level. Thailand’s growth outlook was revised downward, but the inflation prognosis wasn’t changed. New Zealand’s official cash rate was lowered 25 basis points to 1.5%. Such had been 1.75% since November 2016. […] More

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