German industrial orders

Decision Day in America

November 6, 2018

Market behavior today has been unremarkable, as investors around the world wait to see which vision of America has prevailed. The dollar has dipped 0.1-0.2% against the euro, Swiss franc, yuan, and Canadian, Aussie and New Zealand dollars. there’s been a 0.3% drop against the peso and sterling but a 0.1% uptick relative to the […] More

Sterling Slide Extended

August 6, 2018

The pound ended last week on a weak note after Bank of England Governor Carney flagged “an uncomfortably high” risk that Britain leaves the EU without any negotiated deal. That message was reinforced over the weekend by Trade Minister Fox’s perception of 60-40 odds in favor of no deal, and sterling slipped a bit below […] More

Stocks Up in U.S. and Europe After Dropping Overnight in Asia

July 5, 2018

Asian equities fell to 8-9 month lows overnight, including losses of 1.0% in Taiwan, 0.9% in China and 0.8% in Japan. The Trump Administration is set to impose more than $30 billion of additional tariffs on Chinese imports, and China plans to match that raise immediately. The weakness of Asian markets did not carry over […] More

Dollar Loses Ground

June 7, 2018

The dollar fell overnight by 0.9% against the euro, 0.5% versus the Swiss franc, 0.2% relative to the yen, and nearly 2% vis-a-vis the Turkish lira. The lira had been slumping this year on rising inflation, increasingly autocratic politics, and the central bank’s pressured neglect of its currency. A 75-basis point interest rate hike in […] More

WTI Oil Above $70 Per Barrel for First Time Since Thanksgiving 2014

May 7, 2018

Compared to closing levels before the weekend, the dollar has climbed 0.8% against the peso, 0.4% relative to the euro, 0.2% vis-a-vis the yen, Swiss franc and Australian dollar, and 0.1% vis-a-vis the yuan. Sterling and the Canadian dollar are 0.3% and 0.1% firmer, and the kiwi is unchanged. The Indonesian rupiah weakened through the […] More

The Fickle Nature of Investor Anxiety about a Trade War

April 5, 2018

Flip-flopping attitudes about the likelihood of a full-fledged intensifying trade war between China and the United States continues to be a big source of day-to-day changes in market behavior. There was panic earlier this week. Today, investors believe Trump and Jinping will negotiate a truce and forestall a trade meltdown. One problem with such optimism […] More

More Evidence of Strong Growth in the Euro Area

January 8, 2018

Economic sentiment in the euro area leaped 1.6 points to a December reading of 116.0, best since October 2000. Sentiment improved across the board — industry, households, services, retail, and construction. A separate measure, the business climate index, rose 1.7 points to the best score ever in this data series dating back to 1985. The […] More

Stocks Continue Week’s Retreat

December 6, 2017

Equities sold off 2.9% in Hong Kong, 2.0% in Japan, 1.6% in Taiwan, 1.4% in South Korea 1.2% in Singapore and 0.7% in New Zealand. Losses today in Europe so far amount to 1.0% in Germany, 0.5% in France and Spain, 0.4% in Italy and 0.3% in Switzerland. Technology has been hit hardest. With no […] More

Waiting for U.S. and Canadian Labor Market Statistical Releases

October 6, 2017

Investors await the U.S. Labor Department jobs report for September at 08:30 EDT, knowing that it will be badly distorted by the hurricanes that hit Texas and Florida. Canadian labor market figures are due also. Concern over Spain’s uncertain political tension continues to fester, tempering enthusiasm that otherwise would arise from upbeat data like today’s […] More

Markets Less Fearful

June 7, 2017

The troubled Banco Popular in Spain is being acquired by Banco Santander, easing concerns about the banking system in Euroland’s fourth largest economy. Donald Trump announced the nomination of a former assistant attorney general from the Bush43 administration, Christopher Wray, to be FBI Director. The timing of this revelation one day before the highly awaited […] More

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