German import prices

Dollar Strengthens

September 26, 2017

The dollar rose overnight by 0.8% against the kiwi, 0.6% versus the Aussie dollar, 0.5% vis-a-vis the Swiss franc, 0.4% relative to the euro and 0.3% versus the yen, loonie and sterling. Stocks in the Pacific Rim dropped 0.8% in Taiwan, 0.5% in Indonesia, 0.3% in Japan and South Korea, and 0.2% in Australia but […] More

Some Confusion Understanding Central Banker Intentions

June 28, 2017

ECB President Draghi said several things yesterday. A remark that the pendulum of price pressure is shifting away from deflation toward reflation had caught the market’s immediate attention and driven the euro higher, but the ECB today clarified that investors had not given sufficient weight to his other observation that plenty of monetary stimulus is […] More

Brexit Dye is Cast

March 29, 2017

British Prime Minister has signed a letter informing EU governments that Article 50 is being invoked today. This starts a 2-year period of negotiations on the terms for the U.K. leaving the European Union, which will happen on March 29, 2019. Sterling is down just 0.1% against the dollar. The Ftse has lost 0.2% today, […] More

Overseas Share Prices Didn’t Follow Yesterday’s U.S. Rally

March 2, 2017

Stocks were mixed in the Pacific Rim. While Australia’s bourse climbed 1.3% and the Japanese and Indonesian markets went up 0.8%, stocks fell 0.2% in Hong Kong and 0.5% in India. In Europe, the Greek and Spanish markets are flat, and the German and British ones have dipped 0.1%. U.S. futures are a tad down. […] More

It Ain’t Over ‘Til It’s Over

September 27, 2016

Clinton was at first perceived as the clear debate winner last night, which spurred a rally of stocks in Asia and emerging market currencies like the Mexican peso. She was deemed the winner overall but also on virtually all issues discussed. Narrowest margin was on likely handling of the economy. Donald Trump reserved one of […] More

Post-Brexit Market Moves Reversed Slightly Ahead of EU Council Meeting

June 28, 2016

The dollar settled back 0.9% against sterling and the kiwi, 0.8% versus the Australian currency, 0.7% relative to the loonie, and 0.6% vis-a-vis the euro and yen.  The yuan and Swiss are mostly unchanged.  Emerging market currencies did better today as well. Ten-year sovereign debt yields rebounded six basis points in the U.K., 3 basis […] More

Investor Sentiment Spooked by Fed Official Rhetoric

March 24, 2016

Led by oil, commodity prices have dropped.  West Texas Intermediate crude oil dropped 2.5% to $38.81 per barrel after indications of rising U.S. inventories.  Comex gold edged 0.1% lower to $1,218.83 per ounce. The Shanghai Composite index of Chinese share prices fell 1.6%, most in two weeks.  Equities closed down 1.3% in Hong Kong, 1.1% […] More

Looking for U.S. Data to Provide Today’s Market Guidance

December 22, 2015

Revised U.S. GDP heads a bunch of data releases later this morning that also includes existing home sales, the Richmond Fed manufacturing index, home prices, and weekly Johnson-Redbook chain store sales.  The GDP revision is likely to show less growth than reported initially. The Australian and New Zealand dollars were well bid overnight, climbing 0.8% […] More

Better Financial Market Tone Continues

August 27, 2015

The Kansas City Fed’s annual economic policy symposium in Jackson Hole, WY begins today.  The topic of this year’s central banker conference is “Inflation Dynamics and Monetary Policy.”  While Chairperson Yellen will not be attending, Vice Chair Stanley Fisher’s speech on Saturday, the final day of the gathering, is the most eagerly awaited event.  Remarks […] More

An Important Week Starts Quietly

April 27, 2015

Very few economic indicators get released today.  Later in the week sees the release of preliminary estimates of U.S. and British first-quarter growth, each of which is likely to prove soft.  Investors await Wednesday’s FOMC policy statement, eager to learn how the continuing lull in U.S. activity might affect coming Fed policy.  Do they believe […] More

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