German CPI

Divergent Monetary Policies Lend Dollar Support

March 30, 2017

The dollar is up 0.3% against the kiwi, 0.2% relative to the euro and 0.1% vis-a-vis the yen and loonie ahead of U.S. GDP data. Federal Reserve District Presidents Williams and Rosengren, who both represent blue state areas, favor as many as four interest rate increases this year. Chicago Fed President Evans is more inclined […] More

U.S. Monetary Tightening Fever Lifts Dollar, Stocks and Sovereign Debt Yields

March 1, 2017

Last night’s speech by President Trump did no harm but lacked the details that investors were hoping to learn. No more is known about what will replace the Affordable Care Act, or how increased government spending will be financed. Trump was less contentious, but any relief could quickly dissipate today after the new immigration policy […] More

U.S. Restraints on Immigration Rattle Markets

January 30, 2017

Numerous Asian markets from China to South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, Malaysia, and Hong Kong were closed for the Lunar New Year (of the Rooster). There’s been an uproar over President Trumps executive orders concerning immigration banning visitors from many Islamic countries but conspicuously not Saudi Arabia. Stocks fell 0.5% overnight in Japan, 0.9% in Australia, […] More

Investors Ponder What the Changes Will Bring

November 11, 2016

The post-election rally of equities hit a bump overnight. Stocks fell 2.5% in India, 4.0% in Indonesia, 1.9% in Hong Kong, 0.7% in Singapore but rose 0.8% in China and Australia. Japan’s Nikkei edged up 0.2% following a huge run-up on Thursday. European share prices are down 1.1% in the U.K., 0.8% in France, 0.9% […] More

Nervous Market Undertone

October 28, 2016

With the fast-approaching monthend, the usual heavy flow of data releases is being digested. Investors are in a guarded mood with just over a week left before the U.S. election. The Fed is widely expected to raise interest rates soon. The BOJ, meeting Monday and Tuesday is not expected to modify its stance. The first […] More

Markets Moved Sharply by Politics and the Comments of Officials

July 12, 2016

Three developments cheered markets, which chose to look at good developments rather than the still-tense racial tensions in the United States: Pieces are falling quickly into place for the U.K. to get a new prime minister, Theresa May. In parliamentary testimony, Bank of England Governor Carney hinted that more stimulus will be forthcoming to counter […] More

Tuesday’s Market Rebound Extended

June 29, 2016

European share prices have risen an additional 2.8% in Spain, 2.5% in France, 2.4% in the U.K. and Italy,  2.2% in Switzerland, 1.9% in Germany and 1.2% in Greece. Sterling is trading currently at $1.3421, up another 0.6% and 2.3% above the 30-year low seen on Monday. The dollar has also settled back 1.0% against […] More

Stocks, Commodities, Bond Yields Slip ahead of U.S. Data

May 13, 2016

Markets are ending the week on a risk averse note.  The yen advanced 0.9% against the dollar in spite of Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda’s assertion that the central bank is prepared to ease decisively further. A lower open is indicated in U.S. stock futures.  Downward momentum was fueled by yesterday’s gloomy report from Macy’s.  […] More

Oil Retains $40-Plus Level

April 12, 2016

After closing above $40 per barrel on Monday, West Texas Intermediate crude oil extended its rebound by 0.6% to $40.59.  Investors are hopeful that upcoming talks between OPEC and Russia will yield an accord to freeze production. Signs of higher inflation contributed to a better investor mood as well. Swedish consumer prices rose 0.5% in […] More

Grim News Keeps Piling On

January 28, 2016

The Chinese Shanghai Composite Stock index slumped another 2.9% overnight. Markets reacted adversely to the FOMC statement, which did not explicitly back away from December’s message that the fed funds rate is likely to climb a full percentage point in 2016 but indicated that risks are more skewed to the downside now than before. Economic […] More

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