French current account

Risk Aversion Rekindled by Downbeat Economic Forecast and Data as Well as Covid-19’s Relentless Spread

July 7, 2020

Major stock markets in Europe show losses so far today of 1.2% in the U.K. and Germany and 1.0% in France and Spain. Equities closed down 1.4% in Hong Kong, 1.1% in South Korea and Singapore, and 0.4% in Japan. U.S. futures suggest that at least half of Monday’s strong rise in equity prices will […] More

Awaiting U.S. Jobs Report and the Kavanaugh Vote and Watching Sino-U.S. Trade Dispute Intensify

October 5, 2018

Wednesday’s ADP estimate of private employment growth and very low jobless insurance claims suggest a very large jump in U.S. non-farm payroll jobs. The Labor Dept announces the figure at 08:30 EDT. A cloture procedural vote on the Kavanaugh debate mid-day should set the stage for a a full senate confirmation vote Saturday. Best guess […] More

U.S. Jobs Day but That’s Been Overshadowed by Re-escalating Trade Tensions

April 6, 2018

Forecasters anticipate the U.S. March labor market data will show creation of almost 200K jobs, a further small dip in the unemployment rate, and a pickup of hourly wage earnings growth. Share prices and commodity prices fell overnight in response to fresh concern that the U.S.-Sino trade dispute cannot be negotiated away. President Trump has […] More

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