FOMC

Political Fireworks but Markets Calm, Awaiting FOMC Announcement

November 8, 2018

U.S. Attorney General Sessions is out and will be replaced by someone critical of the Mueller investigation. President Trump wasted little time adopting a very confrontational stance to the Democratic majority in the House. The FOMC is not expected to hike interest rates today. No press conference is scheduled, but expectations are widespread that there […] More

Marking Time Ahead of Likely FOMC Rate Hike Later Today and Kavanaugh Hearing Tomorrow

September 26, 2018

The FOMC policy announcement today at 14:00 EDT (18:00 GMT) is expected to justify another 25-basis point rate hike now and to leave in play a possible fourth move this year in December. New forecasts will be unveiled, and Chairman Powell will preside over a press conference starting at 14:30 EDT to explain the latest […] More

Assessing July Factory PMIs and Awaiting FOMC Statement

August 1, 2018

A parade of more than twenty purchasing manufacturing indices released today showed weaker July than June conditions by a ratio of five to one. Today’s FOMC decision is neither expected to entail an interest rate change nor any back-down of resolve following President Trump’s criticism that the Fed has been too quick to raise interest […] More

Stocks and Commodities Up, Manufacturing PMIs Out, and FOMC Announcement on Tap

November 1, 2017

On this All Saints Day, the dollar rose 0.5% to a 6-month high against the yen and also posted advances of 0.4% against the Swiss franc while moving above par and 0.3% relative to the euro. The dollar is steady against the loonie, peso and sterling but has fallen 0.7% relative to the kiwi and […] More

FOMC Leaves FF Target at 1-1.25%

September 20, 2017

The FOMC statement kept the existing interest rate target with no dissenting votes. Officials do not expect the hurricane storm damages to “alter the course of the national economy over the medium term. The statement includes a two-page addendum of modifications to a balance sheet normalization program that will begin to be implemented next month. […] More

A Compelling Argument for the Fed to Stay the Course of Rate Normalization

September 18, 2017

This week’s Federal Open Market meeting is not expected to raise the 1.00-1.25% federal funds target but is nonetheless anticipated as an event that may shed many clues regarding future policy. The disconnection between a tightening labor market yet continuing sub-target inflation has kindled speculation that there may not be any further interest rate increases […] More

Growth Optimism Crowds Out Geopolitical Worries in Wednesday’s Session

August 16, 2017

Markets have turned a deafer ear to geopolitical concerns,¬†but such is likely only a temporary lull. A Korean war seems less imminent, but world alarm about changes happening in the United States continues to mount. The title of a Tuesday Op-Ed article in the Financial Times — America is now a dangerous nation¬†— would have […] More

Oil and Stocks Firmer

July 26, 2017

The Federal Open Market Committee completes its two-day policy review and will announce its findings and plans at 14:00 EDT (18:00 GMT). See preview. Second-quarter corporate earnings have been mostly better than expected and have provided a supportive foundation for equities. 10-year sovereign debt yields are down three basis points in the U.K., 2 bps […] More

Wide Spectrum of Developments Elicit Financial Market Response

July 25, 2017

In an escalated barrage of complaints, President Trump has lashed out at a range of adversaries: Attorney General Sessions, Congressional Republicans, Hillary Clinton, Bob Meuller, and the press. A vote on repealing the Affordable Care Act seems likely in the Senate this afternoon. The Federal Open Market Committee began a two-day policy meeting today. U.S. […] More

Better Tone in Stocks

June 13, 2017

Australian stocks rallied 1.7%, led by financials. A rebound in technology has lifted other stock markets. China and Hong Kong bourses closed up 0.4%. South Korea’s Kospi climbed 0.7%. Indonesian and Singapore markets rose 0.3%. The German Dax, Paris Cac and British Ftse are up 0.5%, 0.4% and 0.1%. Japan’s Nikkei lost 0.1%, however, and […] More

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