Euroland PPI

U.S. Political Stress, PMI Services, A U.S. Jobs Report Shocker, and FOMC Minutes on Today’s Radar Screen

January 6, 2021

In the Georgian senate runoff elections, Warnock has apparently beaten his Republican opponent, and Ossoff holds a razor-thin 50.2%/49.8% lead over the Republican incumbent with 98% of ballots counted. If these leads hold, Democrats would take over the senate majority. The congress is scheduled to tally the state certified presidential electoral voting results this afternoon […] More

Fourth Quarter Starts with Lower Dollar, Firmer Equity Prices, and a Slew of Manufacturing PMI Surveys

October 1, 2020

The dollar fell overnight by 0.5% against the Swiss franc, Australian dollar, kiwi and sterling, by 0.4% versus the euro and by 0.2% relative to the Canadian dollar. A particularly sharp 1.5% drop came at the expense of the Mexican peso. The dollar is steady against the yen. U.S. Covid-19 cases increased 42.5k over the […] More

Equities Still Well Bid for the Most Part

September 2, 2020

Fed Governor Brainard’s call for more fiscal and monetary stimulus encouraged the risk appetite of investors overnight especially in European trading. Ten-year German bund and British gilt yields fell by 3 basis points each, and stock markets have risen by 2.3% in France and Germany, 2.2% in Italy, 1.7% in Switzerland, and 1.6% in Great […] More

More Weak Data, More Holiday Closures, and a Few Monetary Policy Reviews

May 5, 2020

Markets didn’t trade today in China (Labor Day), Japan (Children’s Day), or South Korea (also Children’s Day). Share prices elsewhere in the Pacific Rim went up 1.6% in Australian, 1.1% in Hong Kong, 0.9% in Malaysia (aided by an interest rate cut), and 0.5% in Indonesia and Taiwan. India’s Sensex index fell 0.8%, but European […] More

Awaiting Weekly U.S. Jobless Insurance Claims Data

April 2, 2020

The stage for this week’s renewed financial market pessimism had been set a week ago when the Labor Department reported a record 3.283K upsurge in new jobless insurance claims for the week of March 21st, and now investors are bracing for an even greater increase of close to 4 million or more. The U.S. advance […] More

China’s Central Bank to the Rescue

February 4, 2020

Stock markets around the world rebounded sharply after the People’s Bank of China ease its monetary stance to counter the growth impact of the coronavirus epidemic, where cases now exceed 20k and include over 425 deaths. The PBOC on Monday reverse repo rates by 10 basis points and injected CNY 1.2 trillion of liquidity. That […] More

Financial Markets Dominated by U.S.-Iran Concerns

January 6, 2020

Commodity price rises were extended Monday. WTI oil climbed 1.1%, while Comex gold is only $25 south of the $1,600 per ounce level. Share prices fell 1.9% in Japan and India, 1.3% in Taiwan, 1.0% in South Korea, and 0.8% in Hong Kong. In European trading, stocks are down 1.4% in Germany, 1.0% in Italy […] More

Fading Hopes of a U.S.-Sino Trade Deal Hammers Share Prices

December 3, 2019

Evidence keeps mounting that a near-term trade deal is slipping away. President Trump denied any deadline and hinted that a phase I agreement will not happen before next year. Angry about the U.S. congress’s resolution of support for Hong Kong protesters and perceived U.S. interference in Chinese domestic affairs on the mainland, Beijing officials reportedly […] More

Higher Bond Yields

November 5, 2019

Ten-year sovereign debt yields advanced by another five basis points overnight in Japan and the United States, by 3 bps in Germany and 1 basis point in Great Britain. The dollar fell 0.4% against the Chinese currency, edging back marginally under 7.0 yuan per dollar. Elsewhere, the dollar advanced 0.4% against the Swiss franc and […] More

Difficult Session for Indian Stocks and the Rupee… Key Vote on Brexit… Florida Watching Dorian Warily

September 3, 2019

The Sensex index of Indian share prices fell 2.1%, its worst daily session of 2019, and the rupee has fallen over 0.5% against the dollar. Investors reacted to a 6-year low in Indian on-year GDP growth and a 15-month low in the economy’s manufacturing purchasing managers index. British MPs in the House of Commons across […] More

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