Euroland economic sentiment

Trade Talks Back in the Spotlight

September 27, 2019

A number of factors could have made Friday an ugly day in the marketplace — the U.S. and British political crises, weak European and U.S. data, and Japanese disinflation. But instead, the mood has been lifted by the announcement that U.S. and Chinese trade delegations will restart formal talks in Washington on October 10th. Share […] More

Some Optimism from Three Fronts

August 29, 2019

Investors continue to believe that the U.S. and China can work out some kind of truce in the trade war. It is also thought the resignation of the Scottish Conservative Party leader, Ruth Davidson, may impede¬†British Prime Minister Johnson’s ability to pull the U.K. out of the EU without any negotiated deal on October 31. […] More

European Economic Sentiment Stumbled in July

July 30, 2019

European share prices fell Tuesday, depressed by an unexpectedly large slide in economic sentiment in the euro area to a 40-month low of 102.7 in July. That’s down from 105.2 just two months earlier and 111.2 a year ago. Germany’s economic sentiment slumped 2.4 points between June and July. Two big factors are sapping the […] More

Dollar Marking Time Ahead of G-20 Summit

June 27, 2019

There’s been little change¬† in the dollar, price of oil, or European equities overnight. The Group of Twenty summit in Osaka starts tomorrow. EU leaders will try again to pick the next ECB president by next week. Ten-year sovereign debt yields dipped a basis point in the United States, Germany and Japan. Asian stock markets […] More

Tariff War Concerns Rattle Investors

May 28, 2019

President Trump’s predisposition to fight a tariff war that he believes is winnable depressed the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield below 2.30% to its lowest level since October 2017 and weighed on European and Asian share prices. Equities fell 1.1% in Indonesia, 0.4% in New Zealand and 0.2% in Taiwan and Singapore. Stocks in Europe have […] More

Weaker Turkish, South African and British Currencies

March 28, 2019

The Turkish lira slumped 5% against the dollar overnight when Turkish reserves data showed a large drop from previous intervention to support that currency. Still no word from the South African Reserve Bank’s monetary policy review, but analysts aren’t anticipating a rate hike. However, there is concern ahead of Moody’s sovereign debt call on South […] More

Soft Data and Event Risk

February 27, 2019

It’s been a mixed morning for the dollar, which is unchanged against the yen and euro, 0.4% firmer against the Australian and New Zealand currencies, but down 0.5% versus sterling, 0.3% relative to the yuan and loonie, 0.2% vis-a-vis the Swiss franc, and 0.1% against the peso. WTI oil advanced 2.1%, while the price of […] More

Brexit Mess, An FOMC Announcement, and Some Weak Data Reports

January 30, 2019

Last night’s British parliamentary votes produced an ill-advised win for Prime Minister May, rejecting a no-deal option or a second referendum in favor of authorization for the prime minister to attempt a renegotiation of parts of her agreement with the rest of the EU. Those governments have repeatedly ruled out renegotiation, so a no-deal Brexit […] More

Some Weak Data from Japan and Germany and No End to U.S. Government Shutdown

January 8, 2019

Consumer confidence in Japan ended 2018 at a 25-month low. A 1.9% plunge in German industrial production in November has raised the risk of a second consecutive quarterly contraction of real GDP in Europe’s largest economy. GDP fell 0.2% in the third quarter, and industrial output posted back-to-back month-on-month declines of 0.8% in October and […] More

All Eyes on the Senate Judiciary Committee

September 27, 2018

The testimonies of Kavanaugh and Blassey Ford start at 10:00 EDT (14:00 GMT). This has been a busy day already from a central banking and data release standpoint. The dollar overnight firmed by 0.7% against the Swiss franc, 0.6% relative to the Aussie dollar, 0.5% vis-a-vis the euro and loonie, 0.3% against the kiwi, 0.2% […] More

css.php