Euroland CPI

Greater Pessimism Surrounding Brexit, U.S.-China, and Global Growth

October 16, 2019

Investor confidence regarding the main geopolitical risks of Brexit and U.S.-Sino trade continue to flip-flop seemingly on a daily basis, often without any concrete new actions. Still no deal on Brexit has been announced with the main sticking point being the handling of Northern Ireland’s border with Ireland, and time is getting exceedingly short. Trade […] More

Geopolitical Strains, Weak Data, and a Poor Bond Auction as New Quarter Kicks Off

October 1, 2019

As China observes National Day, increasingly violent protests in Hong Kong evoked a Kent State moment as one protester has been shot there. Half a world away, President Trump’s team stepped up its manhunt for the impeachment whistle blower. Britain, too, is convulsed by its own constitutional crisis, ans the Conservative Party prepares for its […] More

Fed Expected to Announce Interest Rate Cut Today But Forward Guidance Uncertain

September 18, 2019

Investors will be focused not on what actions the Fed implements today but rather on what is said about future monetary policy where FOMC voting members appear divided. Macroeconomic forecasts will be updated, and Chairman Powell will hold a press conference afterward. The dollar has been decently bid today, with gains overnight amounting to 0.4% […] More

Lots of Data Out but Dollar Marking Time Ahead of FOMC Announcement

July 31, 2019

The dollar is unchanged against the euro, Swiss franc, yen, loonie and yuan, 0.2% softer relative to the peso and Australian dollar, 0.1% lower versus sterling and 0.2% higher against the kiwi. Analysts expect a 25-basis point federal funds cut to be announced at 18:00 GMT, and Chairman Powell will begin his press conference at […] More

Powell and Price Data in the News

July 17, 2019

President Trump needs a weaker dollar to reinforce his trade policy and enhance his reelection prospects. The means to a weaker dollar lies in getting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, if not by knuckling under verbal pressure then by packing the Fed Board with monetary policy doves. Powell overnight made comments suggesting that […] More

Muted Overnight Moves in Dollar but Share Prices Up

March 15, 2019

The dollar this Ides of March is unchanged from Thursday closing levels against the yen, loonie and Swiss franc. The dollar fell 0.2% against the euro, sterling and Australian and New Zealand dollars and by 0.1% versus the yuan. Share prices rose 1.3% in China, 0.8% in Japan, and 0.6% in Hong Kong and show […] More

Getting Down to Crunch Time in Sino-U.S. Trade Talks

February 22, 2019

Stocks fell Thursday on some disappointing U.S. economic data but have rebounded Friday, as investors are choosing to believe that Sino-U.S. trade talks will reach an agreement averting an escalation of the tariff war.  Share prices rose 1.9% in China, 1.2% in Hong Kong, and 0.5% in Australia, and European bourses are up by 0.5% […] More

Manufacturing PMIs Convey Global Slowdown for the Most Part

February 1, 2019

Shortly ahead of the release of January U.S. labor market statistics, the dollar is mostly marking time, with no net change against the yen or loonie, downticks of 0.2% against the euro and 0.1% versus the Swiss franc and kiwi, and upticks of 0.6% relative to the yuan, 0.4% vis-a-vis sterling, 0.2% against the Aussie […] More

Market Worries about Trump

December 17, 2018

The DOW has fallen more than 1.0% to start the new week and to below 24,850, territory not seen since last March. President Trump is the common element in a slew of developments worrying investors. The threat of a presidential veto against any budget bill that doesn’t fund a border wall may shut down the […] More

Fresh Data to Consider

February 28, 2018

In addition to yesterday’s testimony by Fed Chairman Powell, which if anything raised the odds of more than three interest rate hikes in 2018, investors today have a slew of data releases on this final day of February to consider. Thursday’s data release calendar is very heavy as well. The Pacific Rim picked up the […] More

css.php