Chinese CPI and PPI

Confusion on Many Fronts

October 15, 2019

Details of the Phase I trade deal that U.S. President Trump proclaimed last week remain vague, and it’s unclear even if the Chinese and U.S. negotiators reached any kind of common ground to commit to writing. The pendulum of investor expectations about where trade talks are heading continues to swing wildly by the day and […] More

Safe Haven Assets in Lessening Demand

September 10, 2019

Some of the recent uncertainties for investors seem somewhat less anxiety-provoking. British Prime Minister Boris Johnson seems to now be intent on working out a Brexit deal with the EU instead of a no-deal exit. Reports have surfaced that the Merkel government in Germany is considering a relaxation of its rigid insistence on balancing the […] More

Sterling Weakens on Data

August 9, 2019

The dollar edged down 0.2% against the yen and kiwi, 0.3% versus the peso, and 0.1% relative to the euro, Swiss franc and Canadian dollar on this 45th anniversary of the resignation of former President Nixon. But today’s weakest major currency has been sterling, down 0.6% against the dollar in response to¬† news that British […] More

Investors in Cautious Mood

June 12, 2019

Trade war concerns continue to weigh on financial markets. Share prices fell 1.4% in Hong Kong where street riots escalated in protest of an extradition law. Equities also dropped 0.6% in China, 0.5% in India and Indonesia and 0.4% in Japan. European stock markets so far have lost 0.8% in Italy, 0.7% in the U.K. […] More

Stronger Dollar, Flat U.S. Share Prices and Lower Commodity Prices

April 11, 2019

Compared to Wednesday’s closing, the dollar has strengthened 0.6% against the Aussie dollar, 0.5% versus the kiwi, 0.4% relative to the yen and loonie, 0.2% vis-a-vis sterling and 0.1% against the euro and yuan. Share prices overnight fell in China, Hong Kong and Australia¬† but rose in Europe. The DOW initially rose but now shows […] More

Stocks Up Overnight but Global Growth Concerns Persist

March 11, 2019

More sluggish data emerged as the second full week of March kicked off. German industrial production fell 0.8% on month and 3.3% on year in January. This drop followed quarter-on-quarter declines of 1.7% last summer and 1.1% in the fourth quarter of 2018. Capital goods production in January slumped 2.5% on month. Germany’s current account […] More

Border Emergency Instead of a Second U.S. Government Shutdown

February 15, 2019

Share prices sank in Asia by 2.2% in Hong Kong, 1.4% in China, 1.3% in South Korea and 1.1% in Japan but have since rallied 1.0% or more in the U.S., Canada, Germany and France. The dollar fell overnight by 0.5% against sterling, 0.3% relative to the Aussie dollar, and 0.2% vis-a-vis the kiwi but […] More

Global Slowdown Concerns Remain in Play

January 10, 2019

FOMC minutes yesterday revealed less clarity about the future path of the fed funds target. Some committee members had been hesitant to endorse December’s rate hike, the ninth of this tightening cycle, although a consensus persists that a few more increase are probable in the future. Ultimately, policy will be reactive to the data, and […] More

U.K., China, and Saudi Arabia in the News

October 16, 2018

British regular pay inflation accelerated 0.2 percentage points to 3.1% in June-August, the highest pace since the start of 2009. This has generated speculation about another Bank of England tightening and lifted the pound 0.5% above yesterday’s closing level. Chinese consumer prices recorded their second straight monthly advance of 0.7% in September, lifting the 12-month […] More

Declines in Kiwi, Ruble and Turkish Lira

August 9, 2018

The dollar advanced overnight by 1.6% against the New Zealand dollar, 0.9% versus the Russian ruble, and some 2.5% vis-a-vis the Turkish lira. Not only did the latest review of New Zealand monetary policy end with leaving the Official Cash Rate at 1.75%, half its level prior to the June 2015 first of 7 reductions, […] More

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