Central Bank of Brazil

50-Basis Point Cut of Brazilian Selic Rate Exceeds Expectations

August 1, 2019

The Central Bank of Brazil’s policy committee, Copom, cut the Selic Rate by a greater-than-anticipated 50 basis points  to 6.0% and released a statement that implies but doesn’t guarantee further reductions. Today’s action resumes an easing cycle that ran from October 2016 to March 2018. The Selic rate had been 13.75% when the easing began […] More

Central Banks and Manufacturing PMI Reports in the Spotlight

August 1, 2019

The Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee left policy settings unchanged by a unanimous 9-0 vote as was expected. Today’s report coincided with the release of the quarterly Inflation Report. Projected growth in the U.K. last quarter was likely zero percent and that for 2019 has been lowered to 1.3%. The forecast assumes a Brexit […] More

Share Prices Down as U.S. and China Exchange Mutually Destructive Tariff Threats

May 9, 2019

It’s crunch time in the U.S.-Sino trade negotiations, and investors are hedging against the worst. The dollar climbed 0.6% against the yuan overnight. The price of Comex gold firmed another 0.2%, while WTI oil slid 0.3% and under $62. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield popped higher after a poorly received Treasury auction yesterday but then […] More

Theme of the Day: Slowing Global Growth

March 21, 2019

Since the Federal Reserve’s policy decision and press conference yesterday, there’s been a parade of other central bank policy meetings. Although only Norway changed its policy rate — a hike no less — the running theme in the many central bank statements is that the slowdown in global demand late last year is continuing and […] More

Many Central Bank Meetings and a Stunning Deceleration of U.S. Import Price Inflation

December 13, 2018

The dollar shows no net overnight change against the Swiss franc, Chinese yuan, New Zealand dollar, or Canadian dollar. The greenback rose 0.8% versus the Mexican peso, 0.4% relative to the yen, and 0.1% versus the euro while dipping 0.1% vis-a-vis the Australian dollar and sterling. Asian equities rallied, but share prices in Europe and […] More

Softer Dollar

September 20, 2018

The dollar fell overnight by 0.8% against the kiwi, 0.6% relative to sterling, 0.4% vis-a-vis the euro and 0.2% versus the currencies of America’s NAFTA partners. The yen and yuan are unchanged. China partly matched Trump’s latest round of tariff hikes. While the 10-year German bund and British gilt yields settled back a basis point […] More

Brazilian and Indian Monetary Policy Decisions

August 1, 2018

Central Banks in two of the four BRIC economies held monetary policy reviews. Coincidentally, while the Brazilian Selic rate was left unchanged at 6.50%, the Indian repo rate was lifted 25 basis points to rest also at 6.50%. Previously, the Selic rate was lowered sharply by 50 basis points in 2016, 675 bps last year […] More

Central Bank of Brazil Breaks Streak of Interest Rate Cuts

May 17, 2018

Brazil’s key Selic interest rate had been reduced by a total of 725 basis points since October 2016, and Copom, the policy-making committee of the central bank, had not anticipated halting the easing cycle this soon when it previously deliberated in March. But by a unanimous 9-0 vote, officials agreed to leave the Selic rate […] More

Central Bank of Brazil Extends Declining Rate Cycle

March 21, 2018

The Brazilian Selic rate was reduced by an additional 25 basis points to 6.50%, extending its cumulative drop to 775 basis points during the last year and a half. Inflation is below 3% and the target midpoint of 4.5%. The monetary policy committee, Copom, released a statement expressing satisfaction with Brazil’s recovery, the global environment, […] More

Central Bank of Brazil

February 7, 2018

Brazilian monetary officials lowered the Selic interest rate by a total of 625 basis points in 2017, but the reduction of 50 basis points in December had been the smallest cut. After meeting this week, members of the monetary committee, Copom, decided unanimously to halve that increment to 25 basis points and asserted that “regarding […] More

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