Canadian GDP

Sovereign Debt Yields Lower on Last Business Day Before Christmas

December 23, 2016

Ten-year sovereign debt yields retreated four basis points in Germany and Italy, three bps in U.K., France and Canada and two bps in the United States. Japan’s market is shut to commemorate the Emperor’s birthday. The dollar slipped 0.2% overnight against the euro and yen but climbed against commodity-sensitive currencies and sterling. The greenback is […] More

OPEC Production Cut Accord Sets Tone for Wednesday’s Financial Markets

November 30, 2016

OPEC oil ministers in Vienna announced a 1.2 million barrel per day production cut to 32.5 mb/d. Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Iran are on board, and there’s reason to believe Russia will take actions to make the agreement work. It’s the first cut since 2008. Brent oil jumped above $50, and West Texas Intermediate crude […] More

A U.S. PMI Clunker

December 1, 2015

The Institute of Supply Management’s U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers index unexpectedly worsened in November and substantially at that.  The PMI declined 1.5 points, moving below the 50 no change threshold for the first time in three years and printing at 48.6, the lowest reading since the last U.S. recession ended in June 2009. Manufacturing PMI […] More

Some Pre-Christmas Data

December 23, 2013

Japan was closed for the Emperor’s Birthday holiday, and other markets are winding down ahead of their closures. Today saw more data releases than any other day this week, but market action has been unremarkable. The dollar fell 0.4% against the Canadian currencies and shows a dip of 0.1% relative to the euro, Swissie, kiwi, […] More

Some Downbeat North American Data

January 31, 2012

Canadian real GDP edged 0.1% lower in November.  This compares adversely with analyst forecasts of a 0.2-0.3% increase and left output in November only 0.7% above that in August expressed at an annualized rate.  Over the previous three months from May to August, GDP had advanced 4.4% annualized, so a rapid deceleration of economic momentum […] More

Huge Deterioration of Canadian Growth and Current Account

August 31, 2011

Canada’s current account deficit widened 52.2% between the first and second quarters and to 3.6% of GDP from 2.4% of GDP.  Net exports exerted a gargantuan 5.7 percentage point drag on GDP growth in the second quarter, as exports sank 8.3% annualized while imports advanced 10.0%.  Consequently, real GDP unexpectedly contracted 0.4% annualized last quarter, […] More

Holiday Closures in the United States and Great Britain

May 30, 2011

Markets are closed today in the United States for Memorial Day and Britain for a spring bank holiday. Currency movements have been muted without the participation of all trading centers.  The dollar at 14:15 GMT shows gains from Friday’s close of 0.2% against the euro and 0.1% versus sterling, the yen and Canadian dollar, but […] More

Improving Trends in Canadian GDP and U.S. Jobless Insurance Claims

March 31, 2011

Monthly Canadian GDP figures, calculated from the supply side, showed a second straight brisk rise of 0.5% in January, resulting in a three-month annualized 5.7% rate of rise compared to a 2.0% growth rate in August-October.  Industrial production rose 1.3% on month and 6.9% on year in January, with factory output increasing by 2.8% on […] More

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