British retail sales

Confidence Hit by Concerns Over China, Coronavirus, and Economic Outlook

July 24, 2020

The last thing the world needs in the middle of a recession is an escalation of Sino-U.S. trade and foreign policy strains, but that became an even likelier prospect as Beijing officials closed down the U.S. consulate in Chengdu. The day’s coronavirus data have been again alarming, although not quite to the extent of the […] More

Good Trade News but Unsettling Covid Developments

June 19, 2020

Share prices got a boost from an overnight report that China will step up purchases of U.S. agricultural goods. This comes after Thursday’s revelation in the Bolton tell-all book that Trump had solicited a boost in Chinese purchases to voter reelection support from the mid-west. Several populous U.S. states like California, Florida, and Texas continue […] More

Provocations by Chinese National People’s Congress and Special Central Bank Meetings in Japan and India

May 22, 2020

China’s government has decided to crack down on Hong Kong dissonance with a series of new security laws. Protesters will have fewer liberties and will be punished more severely. Hong Kong’s stock market plunged 5.6% in response. At China’s National People’s Congress, the tradition of setting an annual growth target was abandoned in a sign […] More

Better-than-Expected Batch of Chinese Data Lifts Renminbi

January 17, 2020

The dollar fell 0.3% against China’s renminbi but advanced 0.2% versus the euro, kiwi and Swiss franc and by 0.1% relative to the loonie. The dollar remained steady against the yen, sterling, and Australian dollar. The recent upturn in share prices was extended in the Pacific Basin and Europe, with gains of 0.6% in New […] More

Thursday Rundown of Overnight News, Data Reports, and Central Bank Decisions

December 19, 2019

President Trump has been impeached by a House of Representatives partisan vote of 229-197. He will get a trial in the senate. Market movements today are mostly unremarkable. Sovereign debt yields are up. Equities are down a bit in Europe but started on an up note in the United States. New Zealand’s stock market rallied […] More

Brexit Deal Reached, Congressman Cummings Dead, and Beige Book Reflects Slowdown

October 17, 2019

Several big stories hit the wires this morning. First, Congressman Elijah Cummings of Maryland, Chair of the House Oversight and Reform Committee and a leading figure in the investigation of President Trump, has died at age 68. He’d had several health problems, but exact details of cause of death were not provided. Second, British Prime […] More

U.S.-Sino Trade Relations Remains at Center Stage

August 15, 2019

The trade war between China and the United States rumbles on. While scheduled U.S. tariff hikes have been delayed to December, Beijing officials are not inclined to give the Trump Administration what it seeks and instead are preparing to retaliate in kind. A senior officials at the Reserve Bank of Australia expressed reservations about the […] More

A Quartet of Central Bank Rate Cuts and Netflix Stock Takes a Large Hit

July 18, 2019

Central bank rates were cut today in South Korea, Indonesia, South Africa, and Ukraine. The likelihood that the Fed will ease at the end of this month played a role in each of these actions. All of the reductions were 25-basis point moves. The share price of Netflix has tumbled 10.75% in response to an […] More

Dollar Down on a Perfect Storm of Tensions Fraught with Uncertainty

June 20, 2019

The dollar lost 0.6-0.9% overnight against the euro, Swiss franc, loonie, yuan, kiwi, Australian dollar and Mexican peso. The greenback also has fallen 0.4% relative to the yen and 0.3% vis-a-vis sterling. The list of unknowns keeps lengthening. Iran shot down a U.S. surveillance drone, seemingly bringing another Middle East war closer. From Fed Chairman […] More

Theresa May Stepping Down as U.K. Prime Minister

May 24, 2019

The effective date of Prime Minister May’s resignation is June 7th. Her decision followed an emphatic parliamentary defeat on her last attempt to secure approval of a managed Brexit and EU parliamentary elections. While the exact result of how British voters cast their ballots will not be known for a while, exit polls point to […] More

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