British retail sales

Market Moved By ECB Minutes

August 17, 2017

The “Account” of the ECB Governing Council Meeting on July 19-20 expresses concern about the euro, which has been rising in response to fundamental improvement in the economy, possibly strengthening too much, which could dull the recovery and delay a return to the inflation target. Although the risk of deflation has receded, inflation remains below […] More

Euro Strengthens With ECB in the Spotlight

July 20, 2017

The euro advanced 0.6% against the dollar and is not far beneath $1.16. The dollar otherwise climbed 0.4% relative to sterling, 0.3% versus the yen and Aussie dollar, 0.2% relative to the yuan and 0.1% versus the peso. The dollar dipped 0.1% against the Swissy and loonie. WTI crude oil rose 0.4% to $47.31 per […] More

Investors Remain Very Risk Averse and Driven by Politics, Not Data

May 18, 2017

Sovereign debt yields continue to fall. In futures, the 10-year Treasury yield of 2.19% is down four more basis points and shows a 22-basis point plunge since the May 10th close. Comparable German bund and British gilt yields fell six and 3 basis points thus far today. The Japanese JGB is unchanged after data showing […] More

Wait and See Market Mood

March 23, 2017

After stocks sold off earlier this week, there’s been a pause this Thursday, as investors await the U.S. House of Representatives vote on the Republican Insurance Policy and the scheduled public comments of Fed Chair Yellen and Minneapolis Fed District President Kashkari, who dissented from this month’s federal funds rate hike. Wednesday’s terrorist act in London […] More

Commodities, Bond Yields, Stocks and Sterling Lower

February 17, 2017

The dollar gained 0.5% against sterling, which was depressed by a poor report on British retail sales. The greenback also rose 0.4% versus the kiwi, 0.3% vis-a-vis the Australian dollar, 0.2% relative to the euro, Swiss franc, yuan, and peso. But it lost 0.4% against the Japanese yen. Prices for copper and other industrial metals […] More

Markets Wonder What Yellen Will Say Today

November 17, 2016

Thursday is being dominated by Fed Chair Yellen’s morning testimony before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress. It will be her first remarks since Donald Trump was elected president on an agenda of more stimulative fiscal policy. She will not doubt be asked how such might affect the trajectory of central bank interest rates. Other […] More

Central Bank Decisions in the U.K., Ukraine and Switzerland.. Now Awaiting U.S. Data

September 15, 2016

The Bank of England left monetary policy unchanged, acknowledged better-than-expected short-term U.K. indicators since the August meeting, but left the door open to a possible further interest rate cut. The National Bank of Ukraine reduced its policy interest rate by 50 basis points to 15.0% and indicated likely further easing if and as inflation recedes. […] More

Pick-Up in Flow of Data Creates New Trading Incentives

August 18, 2016

Wednesday had seen a lull in statistical releases and a commensurate lackluster trading day. Thursday’s been a more interesting day from both vantage points. Released figures include Japanese trade and machine tool orders, Euroland consumer prices, current account and construction output, British retail sales, Australian labor statistics, and Chinese property prices. Investors also are reacting […] More

People and U.S. Data Making News

July 21, 2016

At the Republican National Convention in Cleveland, Texas Senator Ted Cruz shocked the crowd by not endorsing Donald Trump for president and was booed for his disloyalty.  Indiana Governor Mike Pence gave a more effective VP nomination speech than had been expected, but the broad picture is one of tensions within the GOP.  Donald Trump speaks […] More

Eroded Confidence in Central Banks

June 16, 2016

The yen leaped as high as 103.55 per dollar from 105.95 at the Wednesday close following the Bank of Japan’s decision not to change policy settings at its June meeting.  The Nikkei tumbled 3.1% to 15,434, and the 10-year JGB yield is at -0.21%. Investors were bummed out by Janet Yellen’s press conference yesterday.  While […] More

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