British CPI

Fed Expected to Announce Interest Rate Cut Today But Forward Guidance Uncertain

September 18, 2019

Investors will be focused not on what actions the Fed implements today but rather on what is said about future monetary policy where FOMC voting members appear divided. Macroeconomic forecasts will be updated, and Chairman Powell will hold a press conference afterward. The dollar has been decently bid today, with gains overnight amounting to 0.4% […] More

Yield Curve Inversion Amplifies Recession Fears and Flight to Safe Assets

August 14, 2019

The 2-year Treasury note yield edged marginally above the 10-year yield for the first time in 14-1/2 years. This and a similar yield curve inversion in the U.K. happened as investors selectively fixated on weak data while ignoring some better-than-expected statistics, causing share prices to drop sharply in Europe and the United States. Losses amount […] More

Brexit Mess and Central Bank News

May 22, 2019

The latest Brexit proposal from British Prime Minister May was defeated heavily by a parliamentary vote of 432-202. That was a significantly bigger defeat than on her previous attempt. Sterling dropped to a four-month low of $1.2641. The ten-year British gilt yield slid six basis points to 1.02%, but the Ftse-100 avoided the slide experienced […] More

Three-Pronged Blow to European Confidence

May 23, 2018

Italy is poised to get a populist, anti-euro, anti-austerity, and pro-Russia governing coalition. Being the third largest economy to use the euro, this development poses an existential risk to the common European currency that is far greater than the debt problems of Greece. Ten-year sovereign debt yields rose 10 basis points today in Italy in […] More

Lessening Inflation in Europe and Some Significant Meetings

April 18, 2018

Japanese Prime Minister Abe and President Trump are meeting in Florida. CIA Director Pompeo, who has been nominated by Trump to be Secretary of State, met secretly with North Korean President Kim Jong-Un, to decide arrangements for Kim’s historical talks next month with Trump. Investors perceive lessening geopolitical tension. British CPI inflation in March fell […] More

Another Selling Wave Hits Stocks

February 13, 2018

Concern about the U.S. fiscal deficit appears to have been the catalyst for the latest drop in equities. A bill that passed the House by a vote of 240 to 186 and the Senate by 71 to 28 has been signed by President Trump, aborting a short-lived government shutdown, the second one of his administration. […] More

Dollar, Pound and Most Equities Falter as a Ton of Economic Data Got Released

November 14, 2017

The dollar rose 0.7% against sterling while posting losses overnight of 0.7% against the euro, 0.4% versus the Swiss franc, 0.2% vis-a-vis the Australian dollar, and 0.1% relative to the yen, loonie, peso and yuan. The kiwi fell 0.5%. Share prices declined 0.9% in Australia, 0.6% in Indonesia, Singapore and Hong Kong, and 0.5% in […] More

Mostly Firmer Dollar Tone

October 17, 2017

The dollar recorded overnight gains of 0.5% against the yuan, 0.4% versus sterling, 0.3% relative to the euro, 0.2% vis-a-vis the loonie, swissie, and peso, and 0.1% versus the yen and Australian dollar. The dollar edged 0.1% lower against the kiwi, in contrast. Inflation reports released today tended to be above expectations. Consumer prices in […] More

British Inflation Marching to a Faster Beat

September 12, 2017

The U.K. is not displaying the subdued inflation found in most other developed economies. The August batch of British price data revealed a 0.6% monthly advance in total consumer prices and an acceleration of its 12-month increase to 2.9% from 2.6% in both June and July. Core CPI inflation rose 0.3 percentage points (ppts) to […] More

Dollar Continues to Slide

July 18, 2017

The inability of the U.S. Republican Congress to pass legislation in the Trump era took a further toll on the dollar today. Gold rose. Stocks stalled, and long-term interest rates are lower. Subdued inflation remains a global economic trend. U.S. import prices slid 0.2% on month in June after a 0.1% dip in May and […] More

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