Bank of Russia

Another Russian Central Bank Interest Rate Cut

April 28, 2017

The Bank of Russia’s 50-basis point key interest rate cut to 9.25% decided today is larger than analysts were expected. Officials justified the decision by noting that inflation fell sharply last quarter to 4.3% (not far above the 4.0% target). Expected inflation is also lower, growth is positive, and real interest rates remain positive even […] More

Bank of Russia Cuts Key Interest Rate to 9.75%

March 24, 2017

Having previously cut its interest rate by six percentage points during the first seven months of 2015 and by an additional 50 basis points each in June and September of last year, most analysts were not anticipating further easing at this time. A released statement concedes that inflation risks “remain elevated.” Nonetheless, the ruble has […] More

Bank of Russia Retains a Moderately Tight Stance

February 3, 2017

The Bank of Russia’s key policy interest rate was slashed by six percentage points during the first seven months of 2015 and by 50 basis points each last June and September, but it has stayed at 10.0% for the past 4-1/2 months and will probably remain at that level at least through mid-2017. This week’s […] More

U.S. Labor Statistics, Service-Sector PMIs, and a Focus on Some Central Banks

February 3, 2017

The dollar rose modestly overnight ahead of the U.S. jobs data, gaining 0.4% against the kiwi, 0.3% versus the yen, Swissie and sterling, 0.2% relative to the euro, loonie and Australian dollar, and 0.1% against the Mexican peso. China reopened after a week celebrating the Lunar New Year. The dollar fell 0.2% against the yuan, […] More

Bank of Russia

December 16, 2016

Monetary officials left Russia’s key central bank interest rate at 10.0% and released a report that was more equivocating than prior reports about how soon the rate can be lowered further. Actual inflation is behaving as assumed, but expected inflation is higher than hoped. A number of inflation risk factors are mentioned. The restraining effect […] More

Bank of Russia Retains Key 10.0% Interest Rate

October 28, 2016

Two 50-basis point interest rate cuts have already been implemented this year in June and September on top of 600 basis points of easing done during the first seven months of 2015. A decision at this month’s meeting not to ease further in 2016 is defended, however, on the grounds that a slowdown in inflation […] More

Central Bank of the Federation of Russia

September 16, 2016

The Bank of Russia as expected reduced its policy interest rate to 10.0% from 10.5%. This was the second cut of 2016 following a similarly sized reduction in June. In 2015, central bank rate cuts in January, March, April, June and July totaled seven percentage points. Monetary officials released a statement after their meeting calling […] More

Bank of Russia Keeps Interest Rate Steady at 10.5%

July 29, 2016

The Bank of Russia had reduced the rate in June, but according to its new statement, a paused decline in expected inflation led officials not to cut further this time.  The statement, however, leaves the door open to more rate relief if, as they expect, inflation actually continues to decline.  The 4% target is expected […] More

50 Basis Point Central Bank Interest Rate Cut in Russia

June 11, 2016

Russian monetary authorities reduced their key interest rate to 10.5% on Friday from 11.0% and released a statement that emphasized improved inflation dynamics.  ” Inflation risks shaped by the dynamics of budget expenditures, inflation expectations and oil prices were subdued. Certain advances in nominal wage growth did not drag on inflation. Those positive price dynamics installed […] More

Bank of Russia

December 11, 2015

Russia’s one-week auction rate increased from 5.5% prior to March 2014 to 17% by the end of last year.  900 basis points of that tightening occurred in November and December alone, as Ukraine-related sanctions on Russian trade and plunging oil prices conspired to send the ruble into a tailspin.  With GDP imploding, the ultra-tight monetary […] More

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