Bank of England
Bank of England Policy Left As Is But Reveals a Dovish Sign
November 7, 2019
Sterling’s slide reflects one of the days biggest surprises. While the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee left unchanged existing stocks of corporate bond purchases, U.K. gilt purchases, and the 0.75% bank rate, the vote by the 9-person committee on the interest rate level drew dissents favoring a cut by Michael Saunders and Jonathan Haskel. […] More
Risk Back On
November 7, 2019
A claim was made by a Chinese Commerce Ministry spokesman that the U.S. and China have agreed to a phased and mutual reduction of trade deficits but only contingent on a trade deal being done. Stock markets are up 0.7% in Germany, 1.0% in Australia, 0.7% in Singapore, 0.6% in Hong Kong, 0.5% in India, […] More
Eight More Central Bank Meetings, a U.S. Current Account Report, and Downgraded Global Growth
September 19, 2019
Dollar movement overnight was mixed, with gains against the Australian dollar, kiwi, sterling, and yuan but losses relative to the yen, Swiss franc, euro, loonie and peso. The 10-year U.S. Treasury and Japanese JGB yields fell three basis points. Their German and British counterparts are respective a basis point higher and a basis point lower. […] More
Central Banks and Manufacturing PMI Reports in the Spotlight
August 1, 2019
The Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee left policy settings unchanged by a unanimous 9-0 vote as was expected. Today’s report coincided with the release of the quarterly Inflation Report. Projected growth in the U.K. last quarter was likely zero percent and that for 2019 has been lowered to 1.3%. The forecast assumes a Brexit […] More
Bank of England Bracing for Possible No-Deal Brexit
June 20, 2019
The Bank of England left the British Bank Rate at 0.75%, its level since a 25-basis point hike last August. The baseline forecast, which was formally reviewed at the prior meeting, anticipates further rate normalization, but assumed a smooth Brexit process that looks increasingly unlikely. Today’s statement identifies increased downside growth risks, projects flat GDP […] More
Dollar Down on a Perfect Storm of Tensions Fraught with Uncertainty
June 20, 2019
The dollar lost 0.6-0.9% overnight against the euro, Swiss franc, loonie, yuan, kiwi, Australian dollar and Mexican peso. The greenback also has fallen 0.4% relative to the yen and 0.3% vis-a-vis sterling. The list of unknowns keeps lengthening. Iran shot down a U.S. surveillance drone, seemingly bringing another Middle East war closer. From Fed Chairman […] More
Bank of England’s Policy Settings Unchanged
March 21, 2019
The Bank of England as expected did not change its 0.75% Bank Rate, which earlier had been raised twice by 25 basis points, initially in November 2017 and then in August 2018 to 0.75%, highest since March 2009. Nor were quantitative policy tools modified, and both decisions were made unanimously as expected. In a released […] More
Theme of the Day: Slowing Global Growth
March 21, 2019
Since the Federal Reserve’s policy decision and press conference yesterday, there’s been a parade of other central bank policy meetings. Although only Norway changed its policy rate — a hike no less — the running theme in the many central bank statements is that the slowdown in global demand late last year is continuing and […] More
Softer Dollar on the First Day After the Fed’s Rate Hike
December 20, 2018
Markets did not take comfort from Wednesday’s FOMC interest rate hike or the upbeat economic prognosis of Chairman Powell. The dollar fell overnight by 0.6% against the euro, 0.5% relative to the yen and Swiss franc, 0.4% vis-a-vis sterling, 0.3% versus the Australian dollar, and 0.2% against the yuan and loonie. Share prices fared poorly […] More
Dollar Down, Stocks Mostly Up Overseas
November 1, 2018
The dollar fell overnight on this first day of November by 1.5% against the kiwi, 1.3% relative to the Australian dollar, 1.0% vis-a-vis the peso and sterling, 0.7% versus the euro, 0.6% against the Swiss franc, and 0.4% relative to the loonie and yuan. The yen, in contrast, remains unchanged against the dollar. Share prices […] More
