Bangko Sentral Ng Pilipinas

Rate Cut in the Philippines

February 6, 2020

Also as had been anticipated by analysts, the Filipino reverse repo rate was cut 25 basis points to 3.75%. Such is the fourth such reduction since last May and the first change since September. Inflation has risen to 2.9%, but that is still just in the middle of the central bank’s target of 2-4%. “the […] More

Central Banks, Economic Data Surprises, and British Voters in the News This Thursday

December 12, 2019

Polls in Britain’s parliamentary election today will close at 22:00 GMT 17:00 EST. The fate of Brexit is at stake. U.S. producer prices stayed unchanged in November, defying expectations of an increase and leaving the 12-month  increase at 1.1%. An even bigger surprise was a leap in new jobless insurance claims last week to 252k, […] More

Watching Impeachment Developments and Digesting Data

September 26, 2019

The dollar fell overnight by 0.5% against the kiwi, 0.4% relative to the Aussie dollar, and 0.1% versus the yen and loonie, but it also rose 0.2% against sterling and the euro as well as 0.3% vis-a-vis the Swiss franc. The yuan and peso are unchanged. Wednesday’s rebound in U.S. share prices carried over into […] More

More Central Banks Cut Interest Rates, Persistent Trade Tensions, and Lower Inflation

August 8, 2019

Central bank interest rates were cut by 25 basis points today in the Philippines and  Serbia. Earlier this week, rates had been reduced by central banks in India (35 bps), Thailand (25 bps), and New Zealand (50 bps).  The common thread in these moves is the trade war unleashed by U.S. President Trump, the weaker […] More

Dollar Down on a Perfect Storm of Tensions Fraught with Uncertainty

June 20, 2019

The dollar lost 0.6-0.9% overnight against the euro, Swiss franc, loonie, yuan, kiwi, Australian dollar and Mexican peso. The greenback also has fallen 0.4% relative to the yen and 0.3% vis-a-vis sterling. The list of unknowns keeps lengthening. Iran shot down a U.S. surveillance drone, seemingly bringing another Middle East war closer. From Fed Chairman […] More

Share Prices Down as U.S. and China Exchange Mutually Destructive Tariff Threats

May 9, 2019

It’s crunch time in the U.S.-Sino trade negotiations, and investors are hedging against the worst. The dollar climbed 0.6% against the yuan overnight. The price of Comex gold firmed another 0.2%, while WTI oil slid 0.3% and under $62. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield popped higher after a poorly received Treasury auction yesterday but then […] More

Theme of the Day: Slowing Global Growth

March 21, 2019

Since the Federal Reserve’s policy decision and press conference yesterday, there’s been a parade of other central bank policy meetings. Although only Norway changed its policy rate — a hike no less — the running theme in the many central bank statements is that the slowdown in global demand late last year is continuing and […] More

Many Central Bank Meetings and a Stunning Deceleration of U.S. Import Price Inflation

December 13, 2018

The dollar shows no net overnight change against the Swiss franc, Chinese yuan, New Zealand dollar, or Canadian dollar. The greenback rose 0.8% versus the Mexican peso, 0.4% relative to the yen, and 0.1% versus the euro while dipping 0.1% vis-a-vis the Australian dollar and sterling. Asian equities rallied, but share prices in Europe and […] More

A Fifth Straight Filipino Central Bank Interest Rate Hike

November 15, 2018

A desire to counter perceived upside inflation risks such as the rice tariffication bill, the suspension of the oil excise tax, wage pressures, and elevated inflation expectations justified a further hike of Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ overnight reverse repo rate to 4.75% from 4.5%, according to a released central bank statement. Officials also felt obliged to […] More

Filipino Monetary Response Escalated Amid Rising Inflation

August 9, 2018

A May central bank rate hike in May — the first hike of the overnight reverse repo rate since 2014 — was followed one month later by a second tightening. Both increases were 25 basis points in size, which these days is the most frequent incremental change favored by central bankers. But after meeting this […] More

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