Central Bank Watch

Central Reserve Bank of Peru

June 8, 2018

Peru’s central bank policy rate was kept steady at 2.75%. That’s the level reached after a string of alternate odd-numbered monthly 25-basis point cuts beginning in May 2017 and ending in March 2018. A statement released by the BCRP Board asserts that whereas CPI inflation of 0.9% on year in May lay below the target […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Lower Share Prices and Euro, Mixed dollar and Long-Term Rates

June 8, 2018

Equities lost 2.0% in Hong Kong, 1.9% in Indonesia, 1.4% in China, 1.1% in Singapore, 0.9% in Taiwan, 0.8% in South Korea and 0.6% in Japan. In Europe, share prices currently show losses of 1.5% in Italy, 1.2% in Greece, 1.0% in Spain, 0.7% in Germany, 0.6% in Switzerland, 0.4% in the U.K. and 0.3% […] More

Central Bank Watch

Turkish Monetary Policy Tightened Significantly Further

June 7, 2018

With PPI inflation over 20% and CPI inflation above 12%, monetary officials raised Turkey’s one-week repo rate by an additional 125 basis points to 17.75%, bringing the increase of that newly designated main policy rate to 9.75 percentage points in the past ten days. In a statement from the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central […] More

Central Bank Watch

National Bank of Serbia

June 7, 2018

Serbia’s key interest rate has been cut twice already this year by 25 basis points each in March and April, but the latest review left the rate unchanged at 3.0%. According to a statement from the Executive Board of the central bank there, the earlier easing should help lift April’s 1.1% on-year inflation rate, and […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Dollar Loses Ground

June 7, 2018

The dollar fell overnight by 0.9% against the euro, 0.5% versus the Swiss franc, 0.2% relative to the yen, and nearly 2% vis-a-vis the Turkish lira. The lira had been slumping this year on rising inflation, increasingly autocratic politics, and the central bank’s pressured neglect of its currency. A 75-basis point interest rate hike in […] More

Central Bank Watch

Reserve Bank of India

June 6, 2018

A trend reversal in the interest rate cycle has occurred. For the first time since January 2014, monetary officials raised their key repo and reverse repo rates to 6.25% and 6.0%, respectively. Although the future rate bias remains “neutral,” a released statement presents a picture of greater upside inflationary risk despite recently lower food cost […] More

Central Bank Watch

National Bank of Poland

June 6, 2018

The Polish central bank reference rate will stay at 1.5%, its level since cuts of 50 basis points each in January and March of 2015. According to a released statement, “Notwithstanding relatively high economic growth and wages rising faster than in the previous year, consumer price growth remains moderate. Inflation net of food and energy […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

A Sharp Increase in European Long-Term Sovereign Debt Yields

June 6, 2018

Ten-year sovereign debt yields have recorded daily increases of 9 basis points in Italy and France, 8 bps in The Netherlands, 7 bps in Germany and Greece, 6 bps in Switzerland and the U.K., 5 bps in Spain and 4 basis points in Portugal. Yields in North America are up 4 bps in Canada and […] More

Central Bank Watch

Australian Monetary Policy Stance Still on Hold

June 5, 2018

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s official cash rate was last changed in August 2016 when it was cut 25 basis points to 1.50%. Each ensuing policy review — done once every month except January — has stuck with that status quo, although the direction of the rate’s next change is more likely to be up […] More

Deeper Analysis

May PMI Results Point to Much Greater U.S. Advantage against Euro Area

June 5, 2018

The U.S. nonmanufacturing PMI, compiled by the Institute of Supply Management rose 1.8 to 58.6 in May, indicating a robust and considerably faster improvement in nonmanufacturing business conditions last month. The sales and prices indices increased by more than 2.0 points to pace the improvement. A U.S. services PMI, compiled by IHS Economics, was 2.2 […] More

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