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Biggest U.S. Manufacturing Growth Advantage Versus Euro Area in a Half Year

September 1, 2017

The U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers index jumped 2.5 points in August to a 76-month high of 58.8. That increase was three times greater than the 0.8-point rise of Euroland’s manufacturing PMI to a 2-month high of 57.4, resulting in a 1.7-point U.S.-minus-Euroland PMI spread to 1.4 points. That spread is the most U.S.-advantageous since February. […] More

Less Risk Aversion Now but Respite Might Not Last

August 14, 2017

North Korea hasn’t backed down rhetorically, and U.S. President Trump has every reason to keep foreign crisis distraction on the front-burner in light of the developments in Virginia. Nonetheless, the new week kicked off with last week’s haven-favored assets trimming their gains. Investors have shown temporary faith that a nuclear war will be averted one […] More

Stocks Up, and Peso Recovery Extended

June 26, 2017

Equities began the final week of the second quarter mostly on a rising note, with gains of 1.3% in Taiwan, 0.9% in China and Hong Kong, 0.6% in New Zealand, 0.4% in South Korea and 0.1% in Japan and Australia. Several markets were shut for the end of Ramadan. Share prices in Europe have advanced […] More

Reserve Bank of India

June 7, 2017

For a fourth straight Monetary Policy Committee meeting, the key repo interest rates in India was kept at 6.25%. Such had been reduced by 125 basis points in 2015 and by a further 25 basis points in April and October of 2016. The Reserve Bank of India has a medium-term inflation target of 4.0%, and […] More

Soft Tone in Sterling, Sovereign Debt Yields, Oil and Stocks

May 26, 2017

Sterling fell 0.7% against the dollar overnight in response to a new poll showing just a 5-point spread between Prime Minister May’s Conservatives and the Labor Party; the spread earlier had been over 20 points. Britain’s parliamentary election is scheduled for June 8. Sterling declined more sharply against several other currencies, as the dollar is […] More

Nato and Opec Meetings Attracting Attention, as Does Weak British GDP Report

May 25, 2017

A row broke out over U.S. leaking of key intelligence from the Manchester bombing investigation between the May and Trump governments just prior to today’s Nato meeting in Brussels. Prime Minister May will speak to President Trump about U.S. leaks, and Britain reportedly has stopped sharing information with U.S. on the matter. West Texas Intermediate crude […] More

Moody’s Downgrades China… FOMC Minutes Due

May 24, 2017

Only industrial metal prices have reacted much to news that Moody’s downgraded its Chinese credit rating for the first time in nearly 30 years. Commodities have been the main mover today. Comex gold fell 0.3% to $1,251.70 per ounce. Industrial metal prices like nickel, iron ore, and copper tumbled much more steeply. But WTI oil […] More

Better European Data, More Leaked Allegations on Trump, and a Terrorist Bomb Attack

May 23, 2017

The German business climate index compiled by the IFO Economic Institute increased 1.6 points in May to the highest level since German unification, a reading of 114.6. Current conditions went up 1.9 points, and expectations climbed 1.3 points in the latest month, prompting IFO officials to call the business mood euphoric and the pace of […] More

National Bank of Romania

April 5, 2017

Romania’s monetary policy rate has been 1.75% since a 25-basis point cut in May 2015. This month was saw the fifteenth consecutive Board meeting without an interest rate change. From April 2014 to the May 2015 cut, the interest rate had been halved from 3.5% to 1.75%. Today’s released statement notes that inflation finally moved […] More

Dollar, Stocks, and Bond Yields Drop

March 27, 2017

Markets reacted poorly to the scrapped U.S. health care bill. Disappointment transcends Trump’s inability to secure this promised deal. The repeal and replacement of Obamacare was intended to generate cost savings to the government needed to finance planned tax cuts. Tax reform will now be associated with larger fiscal deficits than had been planned, so […] More

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