Central Bank Watch

Rate Cut at Bank Indonesia

August 22, 2019

There’s been an unexpected second consecutive cut of Bank Indonesia’s 7-day reverse repo rate, which now becomes 5.50%. Overnight deposit and lending rates were also sliced 25 basis points to 4.75% and 6.25%. Indonesia’s central bank interest rates had been lifted by 175 basis points last year, with the final move in November, in order […] More

Mexico Joins Group of Central Banks to Cut Central Bank Interest Rate

August 16, 2019

President Trump’s hostile handling of America’s southern neighbor since mid-2015 had created a vicious cycle of  peso depreciation and accelerating domestic inflation in Canada, forcing Mexican monetary authorities to repeatedly jack up their overnight interbank interest rate target from 3.0% prior to the first move in mid-December 2015 to 8.25% after the last move in […] More

Central Reserve Bank of Peru

August 9, 2019

The latest central bank to cut its benchmark interest rate is the Central Reserve Bank of Peru, whose reference rate was lowered late yesterday to 2.5% from 2.75%. The statement announcing the decision cites the widely experience havoc being spread by changes in U.S. trade policies by the Trump Administration: “Global growth risks persist and […] More

Second Serbian Central Bank Rate Cut of 2019 Announced Today

August 8, 2019

The National Bank of Serbia’s Executive Board lowered the policy interest rate by 25 basis points. There had also been a reduction of that size last month. At 2.5% the rate is at a 10+ year low. But officials stressed a cautious approach in light of “global trade tensions, a possibility that monetary policy decisions […] More

Filipino Central Bank Rate Structure Lowered by 25 Basis Points

August 8, 2019

Monetary officials skipped only one review before resuming their easing. The benchmark rate, which is the reverse repo, was cut by 25 basis points to 4.25%, and the overnight deposit and lending rates were cut to 3.75% and 4.75%, respectively. This is the second reduction in this cycle after an initial one in May. A […] More

50-Basis Point Cut of Brazilian Selic Rate Exceeds Expectations

August 1, 2019

The Central Bank of Brazil’s policy committee, Copom, cut the Selic Rate by a greater-than-anticipated 50 basis points  to 6.0% and released a statement that implies but doesn’t guarantee further reductions. Today’s action resumes an easing cycle that ran from October 2016 to March 2018. The Selic rate had been 13.75% when the easing began […] More

Federal Funds Rate Target Cut and Controlled Reduction of Fed Balance Sheet Suspended Two Months Sooner than Planned

July 31, 2019

The Federal Open Market Committee opted for a 25-basis point interest rate cut, not the 50-bp that some had urged. The released statement also revealed a decision to “conclude the reduction of its aggregate securities holdings in the System Open Market Account in August, two months earlier than previously indicated.” The Committee was divided in […] More

FOMC Preview

July 31, 2019

In the six weeks since the last scheduled FOMC meeting, the dollar has edged up 0.2% against the yen and 0.8% versus the euro. It’s been a period in which Fed officials have prepared markets rhetorically to expect an interest rate cut today, so it’s somewhat surprising that the 10-year Treasury yield is now only […] More

Another Russian Central Bank Rate Cut

July 28, 2019

The Board of Directors at the Central Bank of the Russian Federation enacted a second reduction of its one-week repo rate. Both cuts were by 25 basis points. Announced on July 26th, the rate drops to 7.25% and follows an initial easing in mid-June. The two cuts reverse a previous duo of hikes in September […] More

European Central Bank Moving Closer to Reducing Interest Rates and Taking Other Stimulative Actions

July 25, 2019

The European Central Bank Governing Council left policy settings unchanged but signaled likelihood of a multi-pronged stimulus after September’s fuller review. A zero percent refi rate has been flanked by a negative 0.40% deposit rate and a 0.25% marginal lending facility rate since cuts made in September 2016. The ECB leadership is in transition; IMF […] More