Archive for March 28th, 2019

Deeper Analysis

Comment on Revised U.S. GDP

March 28, 2019

U.S. quarterly GDP growth in the final quarter of 2018 got revised downward by 0.4 percentage points to 2.2% annualized. Despite the positive spin from government officials, that’s below the average 2.7% per annum pace of the whole Trump presidency thus far. Moreover, personal consumption, which comprises about 70% of GDP, contributed disproportionately by accounting […] More

Central Bank Watch

Czech National Bank Policy Rate Unchanged

March 28, 2019

The Czech two-week repo rate was lifted from a low of 0.05% by 45 basis points in 2017 and 125 basis points last year to its current level of 1.75%. Two of seven rate policy deciders, who favored another 25 basis point hike now, were overruled by a majority to leave the key interest rate […] More

Central Bank Watch

South African Reserve Bank Repo Rate Left Unchanged as Expected at 6.75%

March 28, 2019

Despite a 6+% decline since the prior policy review in January, South Africa’s Monetary Policy Committee decided unanimously to keep the repo rate unchanged at 6.75% after its second scheduled review of 2019. The rate had been raised by 25 basis points at the final 2018 policy meeting four months ago but kept steady after […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Weaker Turkish, South African and British Currencies

March 28, 2019

The Turkish lira slumped 5% against the dollar overnight when Turkish reserves data showed a large drop from previous intervention to support that currency. Still no word from the South African Reserve Bank’s monetary policy review, but analysts aren’t anticipating a rate hike. However, there is concern ahead of Moody’s sovereign debt call on South […] More

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