Non-Manufacturing PMIs in the U.S. and Euroland

November 6, 2017

The U.S. non-manufacturing purchasing managers index compiled by the Institute of Supply Management edged up 0.3 points to 60.1 in October. Faster growth in sales and jobs outweighed slower growth in new business and prices.

Euroland’s services PMI for October fell 0.8 points to 55.0. The German, Italian, Spanish and Irish readings each dropped more than 1.0 point, but the French PMI went up 0.3 points, mitigating the slowdown of growth in overall Ezone services.

The differential between the U.S. non-manufacturing and Euroland services PMI scores widened from 4.0 points in September to 5.1 points in October, most since July 2015. However, the spread between the two economies in manufacturing PMI scores almost disappeared last month, and the sum of the two differentials was less U.S.-advantageous by 1.4 points last month.

PMIs U.S. Ezone U.S. Ezone Sum of
NonMfg Services Spread Mf’g Mf’g Spread Spreads
Jan 2012 56.8 50.4 +6.4 54.1 48.8 +5.3 +10.9
Feb 56.1 48.8 +7.3 51.9 49.0 +2.9 +10.2
March 55.0 49.2 +5.8 53.3 47.7 +5.6 +11.4
April 53.7 46.9 +6.8 54.1 45.9 +8.2 +15.0
May 54.1 46.7 +7.4 52.5 45.1 +7.4 +14.8
June 52.7 47.1 +5.6 50.2 45.1 +5.1 +10.7
July 52.9 47.9 +5.0 50.5 44.0 +6.5 +11.5
August 54.3 47.2 +7.1 50.7 45.1 +5.6 +12.7
Sept 55.2 46.1 +9.1 51.6 46.1 +5.5 +14.6
October 54.8 46.0 +8.8 51.7 45.4 +6.3 +15.1
November 54.8 46.7 +8.1 49.9 46.2 +3.7 +11.8
December 55.7 47.8 +7.9 50.2 46.1 +4.1 +12.0
Jan 2013 55.2 48.6 +6.6 53.1 47.9 +5.2 +11.8
February 54.8 47.9 +8.1 53.1 47.9 +5.2 +13.3
March 54.5 46.4 +8.1 51.5 46.8 +4.7 +12.8
April 53.8 47.0 +6.8 50.0 46.7 +3.3 +10.1
May 54.0 47.2 +6.8 50.0 48.3 +1.7 +8.5
June 53.4 48.3 +5.1 52.5 48.8 +3.7 +8.8
July 55.9 49.8 +6.1 54.9 50.3 +4.6 +10.7
August 57.9 50.7 +7.2 56.3 51.4 +4.9 +12.1
Sept 54.5 52.2 +2.3 56.0 51.1 +4.9 +7.2
October 55.1 51.6 +3.5 56.6 51.3 +5.3 +8.8
November 54.1 51.2 +2.9 57.0 51.6 +5.4 +8.3
December 53.0 51.0 +2.0 56.5 52.7 +3.8 +5.8
Jan 2014 54.0 51.6 +2.4 51.3 54.0 -2.7 -0.3
February 52.5 52.6 -0.1 54.3 53.2 +1.1 +1.0
March 53.7 52.1 +1.6 54.4 53.0 +1.4 +3.0
April 55.3 53.1 +2.2 55.3 53.4 +1.9 +4.1
May 56.1 53.2 +2.9 55.6 52.2 +3.4 +6.3
June 56.3 52.8 +3.5 55.7 51.8 +3.9 +7.4
July 57.9 54.2 +3.7 56.4 51.8 +4.6 +8.3
August 58.6 53.1 +5.5 58.1 50.7 +7.4 +12.9
Sept 58.1 52.4 +5.7 56.1 50.3 +5.8 +11.5
October 56.9 52.1 +4.8 57.9 50.6 +7.3 +12.1
November 58.8 51.1 +7.7 57.6 50.1 +7.5 +15.2
December 56.5 51.6 +4.9 55.1 50.6 +4.5 +9.4
Jan 2015 56.7 52.7 +4.0 53.5 51.0 +2.5 +6.5
February 57.1 53.7 +4.4 52.3 51.0 +1.3 +5.7
March 56.9 54.2 +2.7 52.3 52.2 +0.1 +2.8
April 57.5 54.1 +3.4 51.6 52.0 -0.4 +3.0
May 55.9 53.8 +2.1 53.1 52.2 +0.9 +3.0
June 56.2 54.4 +1.8 53.1 53.1 0.0 +1.8
July 59.6 54.0 +5.6 51.9 52.4 -0.5 +5.1
August

Sept

October

58.3

56.7

58.3

54.4

53.7

54.1

+3.9

+3.0

+4.2

51.0

50.0

49.4

52.3

52.0

52.3

-1.3

-2.0

-2.9

+2.6

+1.0

+1.3

November

December

Jan 2016

February

March

April

May

June

July

August

Sept

October

November

December

Jan 2017

February

March

April

May

June

July

August

Sept

October

 

56.6

55.8

53.5

54.3

54.9

55.7

53.6

56.1

54.9

51.7

56.6

54.6

56.2

56.6

56.5

57.6

55.2

57.5

56.9

57.4

53.9

55.3

59.8

60.1

54.2

54.2

53.6

53.3

53.1

53.1

53.3

52.8

52.9

52.8

52.2

52.8

53.9

54.4

53.7

55.5

56.0

56.4

56.3

55.4

54.9

54.7

55.8

55.0

 

 

+1.7

+1.6

-0.1

+1.0

+1.8

+2.6

+0.3

+3.3

+2.0

-1.1

+4.4

+1.8

+2.3

+2.2

+2.8

+2.1

-0.8

+1.1

+0.6

+2.0

-1.0

+0.6

+4.0

+5.1

48.4

48.0

48.2

49.7

51.7

50.7

51.0

52.8

52.8

49.4

51.7

52.0

53.5

54.5

56.0

57.7

57.2

54.8

54.9

57.8

56.3

58.8

60.8

58.7

52.8

53.2

52.3

51.2

51.6

51.7

51.5

52.8

52.0

51.7

52.6

53.5

53.7

54.9

55.2

55.4

56.2

56.7

57.0

57.4

56.6

57.4

58.1

58.5

-4.4

-5.2

-4.1

-1.5

+0.1

-1.0

-0.5

+0.0

+0.8

-2.3

-0.9

-1.5

-0.2

-0.4

+0.8

+2.3

+1.0

-1.9

-2.1

+0.4

-0.3

+1.4

+2.7

+0.2

-2.7

-3.6

-4.2

-1.4

+1.5

+1.6

-0.9

+3.7

+3.4

-3.7

+4.0

+0.5

+3.1

+1.8

+3.6

+4.4

+0.2

-0.8

-1.5

+2.4

-1.8

+2.0

+6.7

+5.3

Copyright 2017, Larry Greenberg.  All rights reserved.  No secondary distribution without express permission.

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