U.S. Regains Small Manufacturing PMI Advantage Versus Euro Area in March

April 1, 2014

For a second straight month, the spread between the U.S. and Ezone purchasing manager indices was less than 1.0 in size, but after identical readings in February, the U.S. retook a modest 0.7-point advantage amid a further rise in the euro.  Currency appreciation can erode the competitiveness of Euroland exports and import-competing goods. 

The improved manufacturing PMI of the U.S. was spearheaded by a 7.7-point rebound in the production component following the weather-ravaged month of February.  The jobs and price components actually fell.

Euroland data were mixed across its members.  The PMI readings rose by 2.6 points in Ireland, 2.4 points in France, 0.3 points in Spain and 0.1 point in Italy but fell by 2.0 points in Austria, 1.6 points in Greece, and 1.1 points in Germany.

Mfg PMIs U.S. Euroland Spread EUR/USD
Jan 2012 54.1 48.8 +5.3 1.290
February 51.9 49.0 +2.9 1.323
March 53.3 47.7 +5.6 1.320
April 54.1 45.9 +8.2 1.315
May 52.5 45.1 +7.4 1.280
June 50.2 45.1 +5.1 1.254
July 50.5 44.0 +6.5 1.230
August 50.7 45.1 +5.6 1.255
September 51.6 46.1 +5.5 1.286
October 51.7 45.4 +6.3 1.297
November 49.9 46.2 +3.7 1.283
December 50.2 46.1 +4.1 1.313
Jan 2013 53.1 47.9 +5.2 1.330
February 53.1 47.9 +5.2 1.334
March 51.5 46.8 +4.7 1.295
April 50.0 46.7 +3.3 1.301
May 50.0 48.3 +1.7 1.299
June 52.5 48.8 +3.7 1.319
July 54.9 50.3 +4.6 1.309
August 56.3 51.4 +4.9 1.331
September 56.0 51.1 +4.9 1.335
October 56.6 51.3 +5.3 1.364
November 57.0 51.6 +5.4 1.349
December 56.5 52.7 +3.8 1.370
Jan 2014 51.3 54.0 -2.7 1.361
February 53.2 53.2 0.0 1.366
March 53.7 53.0 +0.7 1.380

Copyright 2014, Larry Greenberg.  All rights reserved.  No secondary distribution without express permission.

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